Broncos vs. Chargers NFL Monday Night Football Predictions: Where Sharp Money is Headed (Oct. 17)

Broncos vs. Chargers NFL Monday Night Football Predictions: Where Sharp Money is Headed (Oct. 17) article feature image
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Carmen Mandato/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Herbert.

Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds, Prediction

Broncos Odds+4.5
Chargers Odds-4.5
Over/Under45.5 (o -112 / u -108)
DateMonday, October 17
Time8:15 p.m. ET
ChannelESPN

*Odds via FanDuel as of Monday morning

The Action Network's proprietary tracking data has indicated a trove of sharp money on the spread and total for Broncos vs. Chargers on Monday Night Football.

Our data tracks where sharp and big moneyed bettors are placing their hard-earned dollars for each game, and to what degree.

For this one, a ridiculous 95% of the smart money is on one side of the total.

Meanwhile, the spread pick has about 64% of the smart money on it.

Following heavy sharp action can allow you to extract value out of retail bettors and the rest of the broader market.

If you only tail sharp money picks, you're almost assured to run a profit over the lengthy long-term.

In the short term, of course, variance is a massive constraint. You'll lose bets along the way.

The best method to ensure a positive ROI is to bet — with the same unit sizing — each time there's sharp action on  a particular pick.

Prediction for Broncos vs. Chargers

The sharps are riding with the under at a market-best price of u45.5 (-105) at PointsBet.

While only about 39% of the retail bettors are betting the under for this line, about 95% of the money is tailing in the same direction.

That 56% discrepancy indicates a large group of big-moneyed bettors are rocking with the under with a ton of money this afternoon.

As for the spread, the move is the Broncos, according to the smart money.

About 35% of the retail bettors are on the spread and 63% of the money is on that same line. The best market price is +5 (-110) at BallyBet.

Pick: Under 45.5 (-105) or better | Broncos +5 (-110) or better

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About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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