Broncos vs. Seahawks Player Props: Anytime TD Scorer
Courtland Sutton
+150 (bet365)
This week, I’m siding with Courtland Sutton over Jerry Jeudy to be Russell Wilson’s preferred target.
In the 11 games that Sutton and Jeudy have played together, Sutton has played more snaps and run more routes every time out.
The Seahawks secondary only allowed 10 touchdowns to opposing receivers last season, but it did rank in the bottom five in the NFL in terms of targets and catches allowed to the position.
Another piece of context: When Wilson was in Seattle, DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett were routinely in the -120 to +110 range for anytime touchdown (ATD) odds. This is a great number for Sutton.
DK Metcalf
+210 (bet365)
This is a disrespectful line.
Obviously, Geno Smith is not Wilson, but Metcalf was pretty good last season with Smith under center. Metcalf had five touchdowns in four games with 19 catches playing with Smith.
Metcalf finished 12th in red-zone targets last season. While much is being made about how good the Broncos secondary is, it still allowed 16 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers last season, which is below league average.
Geno Smith
+750 (FanDuel)
For the final pick, we’re sticking with the Seahawks and taking a longshot.
Smith scored once in the preseason against the Cowboys and scored in his last official start of 2021 against the Jaguars.
Last season, Smith’s ATD odds were around +400 to +500 when he was the starter. I’m taking a shot on getting a much better number here.
