The Cleveland Browns will visit the Cincinnati Bengals in 1 p.m. ET game on Sunday that has massive AFC North implications.
As it stands, the division is completely up in the air. The Baltimore Ravens are 5-2, the Bengals 5-3, the Pittsburgh Steelers 4-3 and the Browns 4-4.
For reference, at PointsBet, the odds-on favorites are the Ravens at -150. The Bengals are second-best, +350 favorites while the Steelers and Browns are both +650.
The public likes the Bengals in this Week 9 matchup. They're three-point favorites and have roughly 70% of the public money on their spread.
And bettors like the Bengals offense to put up big numbers on a Browns defense that ranks 19th in the NFL in DVOA.
Browns v. Bengals Most Popular Player Props
- Joe Burrow to record more than 270.5 passing yards (-115)
- Joe Mixon to record more than 60.5 rushing yards (-115)
- JaMarr Chase to record more than 74.5 receiving yards (-115)
The above data is provided by PointsBet.
Burrow has fulfilled this week's most popular player prop nine out of his 18 career games.
That implies odds of +100, which means there could be value on this one.
Burrow is also facing off against a Browns defense that is sixth-worst in the NFL at pass defense.
This prop looks good to go all-around.
The second most wagered-on prop involves Bengals running back Joe Mixon. He's fulfilled this prop seven out of his 14 career games with Burrow at the helm.
That implies odds of +100.
Over Mixon's career, he's fulfilled the prop 25 out of 58 games.
That implies odds of about +130.
Despite their shakiness against the pass, the Browns defense ranks third in the NFL at run defense, according to Football Outsiders.
If you're bullish about the Bengals offense in this game, I'd take props associated with their passing game instead.
That includes the third-most popular prop, which involves JaMarr Chase, the frontrunner for Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Chase has fulfilled this player prop in five of his eight career games, which implies odds of about -165.
All-in-all, I see a lot of value with the Burrow and Chase props here, and will tail the public here and put a unit down on each.
