Browns vs. Broncos closes NFL Week 13 tonight in Denver at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Beyond spread and total bets, I'm looking at Browns vs. Broncos anytime TD scorers, and I'm targeting a pair of long shots for Monday night's contest.
Here are my two anytime touchdown scorer bets for tonight.
Browns vs. Broncos Touchdown Scorers
- David Njoku Anytime Touchdown (+275, BetMGM)
- Jerome Ford Anytime Touchdown (+750, FanDuel)
David Njoku Anytime Touchdown (+275)
David Njoku only has two touchdowns on the season, but there's reason to believe his upside is considerably higher with Jameis Winston at quarterback.
In four games this season with Winston, Njoku has 28 total targets — nearly double the number of times Deshaun Watson threw to his primary tight end.
Cleveland will also be without one of its top wide receivers in Cedric Tillman. That should open up even more opportunities for Njoku, who is already running a route on 90% of dropbacks.
Given the potential trailing game script and Winston's passing potential, I like Njoku to add a third score to his season tally Monday night.
Jerome Ford Anytime Touchdown (+750)
I'm taking a chance on some long shots for this game — although I'll only play 0.5 units on this one.
The Broncos' run defense has been tough to beat this year, as Denver has allowed just five rushing touchdowns all season.
That said, they have given up a lot of receptions to running backs. The Broncos rank bottom three in targets and catches allowed to the position this season. They've also given up three receiving touchdowns to backs this season, including one to Ameer Abdullah last week.
While Nick Chubb is the primary running back in Cleveland, he only has seven targets in the five games since his return.
Given that Ford has been the pass-catching back in this offense and Denver has been weak defending running backs in the passing game, let's take a swing on him.
