Browns vs. Chiefs Odds
Browns vs. Chiefs Playoff Projections
Sean Koerner, one of the experts who powers our NFL PRO Projections, used his power ratings to project an early spread and total.
- Spread: Chiefs -7
- Total: 53.5
Browns vs. Chiefs Player Ratings
Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, uses his player projections to calculate the most valuable players on each team based on their worth to the spread. Find his ratings below or read his full analysis here.
How Cleveland Reached the Divisional Round
- Wild Card Round: Upset the Steelers
- Regular-Season Record: 11-5
Tommy Stokke: It's been a lot of running, a little Baker Mayfield and beating teams that good teams are supposed to beat — then pulling off a surprise rout of their AFC North rivals on Wild Card Weekend.
Kevin Stefanski was brought in as head coach and increased the Browns' scoring per game by five points by leaning on the NFL's fourth-best rushing offense. Mayfield is more accurate this year and turning the ball over less, having thrown 21 interceptions in 2019 compared to just eight this season.
How Kansas City Reached the Divisional Round
- Wild Card Round: Bye
- Regular-Season Record: 14-2
Stokke: Patrick Mahomes, that’s how.
The MVP candidate was nearly flawless this season, throwing 38 touchdowns to just six interceptions and finishing second in the NFL with 4,740 yards. He was second in the passing yards race to Deshaun Watson because he sat out Week 17 with the Chiefs already owning the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
Kansas City’s lone defeat came in Week 5 against the Raiders, but the Chiefs responded with a 10-win streak and quickly quieted any concerns that came out of the loss. Going over their regular-season total of 11.5 wins was never really in doubt.
The most impressive part of the Chiefs’ run is what they’ve done against playoff teams. Kansas City has wins over the Saints, Buccaneers, Bills and Ravens, half of the remaining postseason field. What do those games have in common? They were all on the road. The Chiefs’ performance from from Arrowhead Stadium ensured they won’t have to leave home again until the Super Bowl.
Even though Kansas City was almost unbeatable on the field, bettors weren’t rewarded. Often faced with high spreads, the Chiefs were 7-8 against the spread in the 15 games Mahomes started.
