Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears Betting Odds: Sharps Fading Tom Brady on Thursday Night Football

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears Betting Odds: Sharps Fading Tom Brady on Thursday Night Football article feature image
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Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Tom Brady (12) of the Buccaneers

Buccaneers vs. Bears Odds

Buccaneers Odds-3.5
Bears Odds+3.5
Over/Under44.5
Time/Channel 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX

Check out our new NFL PRO Report, where we highlight factors that provide betting edges — like large wagers, historically profitable betting systems, model projections and expert picks — that when combined with sharp money can powerfully detail the smartest bets on a given slate.


Love him or hate him, Tom Brady has historically come through for NFL bettors.

According to our Bet Labs data, Brady is 170-116-9 (59.4%) against the spread (ATS) since 2003, making him the most profitable quarterback over that span in terms of units won.

Casual bettors are clearly backing Brady tonight against the Bears, evidenced by the 77% of spread tickets on the Bucs.

However, The Action Network's real money percentages reveal that big bettors have other opinions.

While attracting just 23% of spread tickets, those bets account for 66% of actual dollars wagered. This tell us that the largest-sized wagers are coming in on Chicago, and the line movement from +5.5 to +3.5, and even +3 at some sportsbooks, confirms that oddsmakers are heavy on the Bears.

That discrepancy between spread bets and real money is not just big, it's the biggest difference ever tracked by our Bet Labs data with Brady under center.

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About the Author
Sports bettor and Editor at The Action Network.

Follow PJ Walsh @PJWalsh24 on Twitter/X.

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