This week on Monday Night Football, we’re fading on Saints receiver who’s getting more involved in the offense and fading a veteran in the slot.
I make these picks using Sean Koerner’s projections on Action Labs. Let’s dive in and find out Buccaneers vs. Saints player props.
Rashid Shaheed
Over 1.5 Receptions (+130, DraftKings)
Gilles Gallant is on Shaheed to score a touchdown this week at a massive +800 number. We’re going to bet him at a slightly lower plus number, but one that shows good value given his involvement in the offense.
Shaheed has cleared this number only twice this season, although one of those was last week against the 49ers.
After not playing more than 23% of snaps in his first five games of the season, Shaheed has been on the field for 49% and 53% of the Saints’ offensive plays over the last two weeks. He’s a big-play threat, something New Orleans has lacked this season.
Shaheed has seen a combined five targets over the last two weeks, including three against the 49ers last week that led to two catches for 53 yards. This week, it’s unlikely New Orleans is shut out again, which should lead for more offensive production to potentially go to a playmaker.
Shaheed is projected for 1.9 receptions, so getting +130 on over 1.5 receptions makes this an easy pick to make to close Week 13.
Jarvis Landry
Under 3.5 Receptions (+105) & 40.5 Receiving Yards (-115, both at BetMGM)
Action Labs likes both the reception and yardage under on Landry this week. He’s projected for 3.2 catches and 32.1 receiving yards compared to lines of 3.5 catches and 40.5 receiving yards.
I wouldn’t blame you for betting both. While Shaheed has seen his snaps go up of late, Landry has been a part-time receiver over the last two weeks.
The veteran slot receiver missed Weeks 5-9 due to injury, and he played 79% of snaps upon returning in Week 10. In Weeks 11 and 12, though, he played 56% of Saints offensive plays.
In all three of his games since returning from injury, Landry has gone under both of those totals every time, with receiving lines of 3-37-0, 3-33-1 and 2-20-0.
The best numbers on both Landry totals can be found at BetMGM, but be sure to use Action Labs.
