I’m not sure if you have heard, but Tom Brady makes his return to New England this weekend. There is so much anticipation around this game PointsBet is offering unique prop bets built around Brady.
These bets are available to use with Points Bets' risk-free $20 Sunday Night Football special, too.
While gambling should be taken seriously most of the time, there are occasions when throwing caution to the wind and embracing the moment is appropriate. One example is the coin flip at the Super Bowl, when millions of dollars are lost on simple 50/50 odds.
This is another instance, as we have a battle between the anchors of the greatest NFL dynasty ever in the stadium their legacy was built. Add in Brady likely breaking Drew Brees’ passing-yard record on Sunday night, and emotions and excitement are surely in store.
The best part is that, with PointsBet's offer you can take a risk-free bet and enjoy as the events unfold. Now, just because this is my stance does not mean you have to feel the same way. That’s why I will provide three prop bets — one conservative, one moderate and one risky — for Brady, and you can pick whichever you are comfortable with.
Tom Brady Props To Bet For Bucs-Patriots
Prop 1: Conservative Option
Tom Brady to Have 22+ Completions (-200)
Let's start simple. In the 19 regular-season games Brady has started for the Buccaneers, he has completed 22 passes 17 times. The two games he failed to meet that mark were comfortable victories when Tampa Bay ran the ball well.
A common theme in these picks will be the Bucs winning comfortably but without a run game. Tampa’s best run game came in Week 2, and it still only managed 82 yards. Tampa has a deep assortment of weapons, and the Patriots have played the run well. The offenses’ production will come down to Brady, and as he has in many critical games, he will show up.
Prop 2: Moderate Option
Tom Brady’s Longest Completed Pass to Be Greater Than His Age (44) (+130)
Since the addition of Antonio Brown, teams have struggled to stop all of the Buccaneers receiving options. Last season, pre-Brown, Brady had only three out of 11 games where he completed a pass for 45 or more yards. When Brown has been on the field, Brady crossed that mark in six of eight games.
Making this prop a little more difficult is the defense in their way. However, the Patriots’ defense may be a little overrated in this department. New England ranks sixth in net yards allowed per pass attempt but it has a ridiculously easy set of passing offenses to stop. The Patriots’ have stopped the Saints, Jets, and Dolphins, all of whom rank bottom four in net yards per attempt.
Brady will show up ready to answer the call in a highly emotional game. He will look to make Bill Belichick regret letting him go, and a few deep shots will help rub salt in that wound.
Prop 3: Risky Option
Antonio Brown Catches First TD Pass from Brady (+600)
If Rob Gronkowski was available I feel this would have been one of the easier bets. All year, Brady has had eyes for Gronk once they break into the redzone. However, his absence means someone else has to step in, and who is better than another former Patriot?
One catch here is that Brown has seen little red-zone action in his time with Tampa. His five touchdowns have all come from at least 12 yards out. I am sticking with the idea here that Tampa Bay will be aggressive early and look to strike fast. Brown is their best deep threat and would just add insult to injury if a quick big-play touchdown was scored from former Patriot to former Patriot.
