Carson Wentz and the Indianapolis Colts will have a showdown on Saturday night against the New England Patriots at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Saturday night NFL football is a beautiful thing, isn't it?
The Patriots have their playoff spot all but locked up. They sit two games ahead of the Bills in the division and in the Wild Card race.
The Colts are one of those teams in the Wild Card race and have a shot at the division. Indy is currently two games back of the Titans.
It should be a fun primetime matchup between two teams likely to make the playoffs.
And while the Colts have been riding Jonathan Taylor to the tune of 129 total yards per game — good for the best rushing offense in the NFL — Carson Wentz has also stepped it up in recent weeks.
After a shaky start to the season, Wentz has thrown for over 200 yards passing with about two touchdowns and only 0.4 picks per game since November.
Below are Wentz's player props for Saturday Night Football and which sportsbooks have the best value for those props. The sportsbook offering the best value is in parentheses.
Carson Wentz Most Valuable Passing Player Props
- Passing yards over: 220.5, -105 (Caesars)
- Passing yards under: 230.5, -118 (FoxBet)
- Passing touchdowns over: 1.5, +120 (FanDuel, FoxBet, BetMGM)
- Passing touchdowns under: 1.5, -143 (FoxBet)
- Passing completions over: 19.5, -135 (Caesars)
- Passing completions under: 21.5, -113 (FanDuel)
- Passing attempts over: 31.5, -105 (BetMGM, BetRivers)
- Passing attempts under: 31.5, -102 (FanDuel)
- Interceptions over: 0.5, -108 (BetRivers)
- Interceptions under: 0.5, -115 (BetMGM)
The Colts are expected to rely on the running game and Jonathan Taylor. They make no qualms about that. So how many overs could Wentz actually hit?
The only way he gets to the passing yards over is if the Colts are playing from behind in the second half.
Attempts and completions will also come down to how much the Colts will want to throw the football. If they are down in the second half, both of those could easily go over. Wentz has had 20 or more completions in four of his last six games.
Additionally, Wentz has thrown no interceptions in four of his last five games and has only thrown an interception in three games this season. The under on interceptions at almost even vig seems to have the best value on this slate.
