Chase Young has been traded to the 49ers for a third-round pick, joining an already formidable pass rush for a team that ranks No. 3 on the Super Bowl odds heirarchy.
Still, odds didn't change on that front at all. The 49ers' odds have actually gotten worse over the last day, moving from a tie for No. 2 with the Eagles to its position at No. 3.
The Chiefs (+500) and Eagles (+500) are tied atop that leaderboard at FanDuel.
Where the acquisition seems to have helped is with NFC West odds, where odds at DraftKings have fallen to -235. For reference, odds for the 49ers to win the NFC East at FanDuel are -280 as of Tuesday afternoon.
Odds for the 49ers to make the playoffs have remained largely unchanged — partially due to the relative certainty of that marketplace. Odds were -10000 before the 49ers lost to the Bengals on Sunday. Now, they're -2000 post Young's acquisition.
The 49ers defense had been elite prior to this three-game losing streak, but a poor month has tanked their expected points added per play (EPA/play) and defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA). San Francisco had been ranked as high as No. 2 in the NFL in both metrics. Now, they're No. 13 in EPA/play and No. 16 in DVOA.
The addition of Young should assist that unit immensely, one that's underperformed drastically the last few weeks.
Meanwhile, the offensive side of the ball has, remarkably, played at an admirable level the last few weeks. Despite the foibles on the eye test, the 49ers rank No. 3 in EPA/play and No. 2 in DVOA as an offense. And Brock Purdy still ranks as the No. 1 quarterback in the NFL at EPA/play + completion percentage over expected (CPOE) the single most important stat in judging the MVP market.
That's despite injuries to Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams — two absolute linchpins on that side of the ball.
