The Chiefs were one win away from reaching the Super Bowl last season. Can they break through this year in a stout AFC West?
Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes return to form as one of the league's top head coach/QB duos. And although some key pieces are gone from the 2021 puzzle, Kansas City has the talent, track record and pedigree to make noise this fall.
Chiefs Super Bowl and AFC West odds, as well as win total analysis, highlight some of the top futures bet options in 2022.
Chiefs Super Bowl Odds
The Chiefs have the third-best odds to win the Super Bowl, priced +1000 at both FanDuel and BetMGM.
Only the Bills — the title favorites at both shops — and Buccaneers own shorter odds.
Kansas City was +600 in the 2019 preseason when it captured its most-recent Super Bowl.
Odds to Win the AFC West
Kansas City's won the division six straight years, trumping Denver's five-year reign from 2011-15.
The Chiefs are consensus favorites across the board to take the AFC West in 2022.
The best value on the board is +175 (BetMGM), while a shop like FanDuel is more bullish, pricing Kansas City +155. (Shop and browse division odds and more futures here!)
Chiefs 2022 Win Total
The Chiefs' 2022 win total is 10.5.
Kansas City's nabbed at least 11 victories in six of the last seven seasons under head coach Andy Reid – and those were consistently over 16-game schedules!
Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics, Sean Koerner, profiled all 32 win totals for the upcoming season.
Here's his lean on the Chiefs' over/under of 10.5:
There is no denying that the Chiefs offense could take a step back after trading away a player like Tyreek Hill. However, I thought they did a good job adding a few WRs, though, in JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and second-round rookie Skyy Moore to help mitigate the loss.
Patrick Mahomes is only 26 years old, which means he is just starting to enter his prime as arguably the best QB in the NFL already. The Chiefs offense should remain one of the best in the league.
However, the Chiefs benefited from the best injury luck in 2021 and have the toughest regular-season schedule based on my power ratings. I’m leaning toward the Chiefs going under their 10.5 win total.
