With Kansas City Chiefs' primary running back Isiah Pacheco sidelined because of an injury, Chiefs backup running back Carson Steele is set to step into the spotlight this week.
As we approach Week 3 of the NFL season, all eyes are on how Steele will fare in this sudden promotion.
For those interested in football betting and fantasy football, our updated PRO Projections — including forecasts for Carson Steele’s performance — are designed to provide the most accurate and insightful information possible.
PRO Projections use proprietary betting data from our team of NFL experts like Sean Koerner and the Action Analytics team, who diligently compare odds, player projections, and other relevant metrics to the betting markets.
This weekend’s matchup sets up the Kansas City Chiefs at the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football.
Given the stakes and the shift in the Chiefs' backfield dynamics, the game promises to be particularly intriguing for those monitoring the Chiefs backup running back situation.
Chiefs Backup Running Back: Carson Steele Projections for NFL Week 3
Transitioning to the specifics of betting projections and odds, the Chiefs are currently favored by 3.5 points, with the total game over/under set at 46.5 points.
Steele's performance last week consisted of seven carries for 24 yards — modest numbers, yet reflective of his limited role. However, with Pacheco's absence, Steele will now have the opportunity to up his game.
The betting markets at BetMGM have set Steele's over/under for rushing yards at 42.5.
According to our PRO Projections, Steele is estimated to rush for around 44 yards. This is closely aligned with the market numbers, a scenario which doesn't present a clear betting edge. Therefore, we advise against placing a bet in this instance, as the projections are actually against (-3.5% edge) to the set over/under to confidently recommend either side.
For updated PRO Projections, including touchdown props and more, check out our new and improved NFL player prop projections.
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that's where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
