The Chiefs and Buccaneers get together on Sunday Night Football this week. Another edition of the Tom Brady-Patrick Mahomes rivalry is set to go in the books, and it should be an epic battle.
However, the Buccaneers' offense has looked incredibly limited in the early going. The offensive line is a mess, the receivers are injured and Brady has struggled as a result.
As such, I’m fading two of his favorite pass catchers on PrizePicks. You can pair together and parlay NFL player props for real money wagers using the app in 30 states.
Download the app and check out my two favorite PrizePicks play for tonight.
Chris Godwin
Over/Under 39.5 Receiving Yards
Chris Godwin managed just 35 yards on three receptions in Week 1 against Dallas before exiting with a hamstring injury. He then missed Weeks 2 and 3 and is just getting back into the fold.
I don’t know where the yards come from. Brady doesn’t have enough time to throw and hasn’t been able to hit his receivers downfield as he did in recent years. Godwin averaged 12.9 YPR in 2020 and it’s been downhill ever since.
Kansas City’s defense isn’t great, but I expect them to pressure Brady given Tampa Bay's offensive line issues. Moreover, the defense has allowed just 37.3 yards per game to No. 2 wide receivers. Assuming that Mike Evans is the top target, Godwin could struggle getting open in this one.
The Action Network’s Player Props Tool projects Godwin for only 26.2 receiving yards on Sunday night, while Stokastic’s player props tool projects him for 28.
Fade Godwin on Sunday Night.
Pick: Under 39.5 receiving yards.
Mike Evans
Over/Under 70.5 Receiving Yards
The big story surrounding Mike Evans was his suspension in Week 3. However, don’t overlook his lack of production.
Evans is acclaimed for posting 1,000-yard receiving seasons in eight straight years to begin his career. That number is now in jeopardy. He’s managed a measly 132 yards over two games, garnering just 11 targets along the way.
Again, the Tampa offense is in trouble. Brady doesn’t have the time to target Evans down field. He’s had to rely on Russell Gage on the underneath routes, with Gage having accumulated 19 receptions on 21 targets for 128 yards through three games.
The Action Network’s Player Props Tool projects Evans for just 58.6 yards on, while Stokastic’s player props tool is at 68.
With Evans having to work his way back into the offense, I think he struggles to reach this line. I’ll happily fade him in this matchup.
Pick: Under 70.5 receiving yards.
