Using Sean Koerner's expert projections as part of Action PRO, I have found three escalators for a +1200 Super Bowl parlay.
My Chiefs vs. Eagles parlay is operating under the assumption that the Chiefs are in control of the Super Bowl. I'm expecting Kansas City to get out to an early lead, which the Eagles have rarely faced. Tail below and read on for my preview.
- Isiah Pacheco 25+ Rushing Yards
- DeAndre Hopkins 25+ Receiving Yards
- Saquon Barkley 15+ Receiving Yards
Super Bowl Parlay: +1200 at DraftKings
Isiah Pacheco 25+ Rushing Yards
Isiah Pacheco is projected for 26 yards by Koerner.
He hasn’t gone over this total in any of his last three games, but he did in his first four games after returning from injury. Efficiency has been the problem for Pacheco, who has averaged 3.1 yards per carry in his last six games.
Kareem Hunt hasn’t been much better this season, though.
If the Chiefs are playing with a lead, as I suspect they might, they should go with the running back who has a bit of explosiveness to him instead of the plodding Hunt.
DeAndre Hopkins 25+ Receiving Yards
DeAndre Hopkins is projected for 20.3 receiving yards by Koerner.
Hopkins’ role in the Chiefs offense has decreased in the playoffs. JuJu Smith-Schuster has gotten more snaps, and Hollywood Brown’s role has gotten steady.
Still, Hopkins is a high-percentage play for Mahomes with a low average depth of target. As Kansas City looks to control the game, Hopkins will be a reliable option in the passing game, especially if the goal is to keep the clock ticking with completions.
Saquon Barkley 15+ Receiving Yards
Saquon Barkley is projected for 14.2 receiving yards, but he has more upside than usual in this market.
For the first time in a very, very long time, the Eagles could be playing from behind. The idea that Pacheco would be able to go over his rushing over would correlate with the Chiefs being in front. That means Philadelphia might have to be a little more pass-heavy than usual.
If the Eagles have to throw more than they’d like, Barkley will be on the field. Kenneth Gainwell is not going to take his third-down or passing-situation snaps.
Barkley went over this total five times in the Eagles’ first 10 games but has only done so once since the start of December. During that latest stretch, the Eagles have not played from behind for the majority of a game. Even their one loss saw them blow a lead on the road against the Commanders.
