Chiefs vs. Jets Odds — NFL Week 4 (Sunday Night Football)
| Chiefs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8 -110 | 41.5 -110o / -110u | -450 |
| Jets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8 -110 | 41.5 -110o / -110u | +350 |
The NFL Week 4 Sunday slate concludes with a Sunday Night Football banger, so let’s get into Chiefs vs. Jets best bets, which include picks on the spread, game total and multiple player props.
The Chiefs vs. Jets spread unsurprisingly has Kansas City as heavy favorites of -8 and -450 on the moneyline — at bet365 — against Zach Wilson and the Jets. Though FanDuel, BetMGM and PointsBet are hanging a -7.5 as we close in on kickoff at MetLife Stadium.
One of our NFL experts, however, isn’t sold on the Chiefs and has a bet on the Jets to cover. If you like overs, we have those as well with Chiefs props on Patrick Mahomes rushing yards and Rashee Rice receiving yards.
For good measure, we also have a pick on the game total, which sits at 41.5 across the board.
Our staff of NFL analysts are all over this primetime game with this betting preview. From Chiefs vs. Jets spread picks to player props, here are our experts' four best bets for Sunday Night Football.
Chiefs vs. Jets Best Bets, Picks
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our NFL betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Chiefs vs. Jets
By Simon Hunter
Don't let last week's blowout of the Bears fool you: Something is wrong with the Chiefs offense.
The Chicago defense can make offenses look like things are peachy, but they're not. This new Chiefs O-line is terrible at pass blocking, and we finally have a team to bet that will dominate that unit.
We've seen Patrick Mahomes struggle when teams can get pressure on him with just four pass rushers. The Jets are the perfect matchup to do that.
This will be one of the most publicly bet games of the week. Everyone is running to the window to take the Chiefs in their teasers, moneyline parlays and against the spread. It's a bad spot for K.C. and this is a bad number.
This is one of my favorite early lines of the season. I love the value we're getting on the Jets at home in primetime.
Pinch your nose and bet this ugly 'dog.
Pick: Jets +9.5
Chiefs vs. Jets
The Chiefs continue to play great defense, and let's be honest, you and I could probably defend well enough the way the Jets offense looks. Kansas City's offense broke out against Chicago, but the Jets have an actual defense, so things probably won't be so easy. This feels like a snoozer Sunday night 23-6 game.
Primetime unders the last four years hit at 61% and are 9-2 so far this season. Wilson games with a total below 44 have gone under 64% of the time, and Jets games have finished at 41 or below in 16 of 20 games since the start of last season, including 14 of the last 15 (93%).
This SNF under was my favorite play of the week at 45 on the Lookahead. You're not getting the best of the number anymore, but I still like the under. The Jets great pass defense should slow things down, and the Chiefs have gotten annoyingly good at grinding out boring wins. I'll play to 41, and I don't mean Taylor Swift appearances on camera.
Pick: Under 41.5
Chiefs vs. Jets
I generally bet this line every week when it's this low, and this week is no different.
Mahomes is a solid rushing QB, and he crushed this number last week against the Bears even with the game out of Chicago's reach from the start. He has 103 rushing yards through three weeks and has hit the over at this number in each of those games.
Mahomes has averaged over 20 yards on the ground per game in each of the last three seasons and is well on pace to do that this year. I have Mahomes projected for over 20 rushing yards in this spot, making this a solid expected value bet.
I would hit this all the way up to 19.5 rushing yards.
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Chiefs vs. Jets
The Chiefs' troubles at wide receiver are no secret, and their solution clearly involves second-round rookie Rashee Rice.
Rice played only 36 total snaps over the first two games of the season, but his playing time reached new heights in Week 3, when he was on the field for 39 plays and ran 21 routes. More importantly, he ran a route on 50% of Patrick Mahomes' passing attempts in the first half before the Chiefs started to take their foot off of the gas in a blowout win over the Bears.
Rice was targeted seven times against Chicago, and he continues to gain the trust of his QB. Rice also plays predominantly on the inside of the formation, with 74.3% of his routes coming from the slot. This should help him avoid Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed on Sunday night.
Of Rice's 14 targets on the season, he was the first read on 11 of them. He should continue to grow as part of the gameplan as the season progresses, so I will gladly play overs on his props before the market starts to reflect his role in the Chiefs offense.
