Chiefs vs. Ravens Betting Trends | AFC Championship Stats
The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship game next Sunday.
Baltimore last faced Kansas City in week 2 of 2021. It is the last time Patrick Mahomes faced Lamar Jackson. Baltimore won at home 36-35 at 3.5-point dogs. Jackson is 1-3 straight-up and 2-2 against the spread against Mahomes in his career. Here are two key stats to note ahead of Sunday's AFC Championship game.
Can Baltimore Stay Hot?
The Ravens have been on an absolute tear. Outside of the Week 18 game against the Steelers where they rested most of their starters, the Ravens have won their last four games by at least 14 points.
They looked like a dominant team in their 24-point win over the Texans. Since 2009, seven teams have entered the Conference Championship coming off of a win of 20-plus points. Those teams went 6-1 straight-up and home teams are 5-0 in the Conference Championship.
Since 2003, there have been 11 teams to enter the Conference Championship coming off of a win of 20-plus points, those teams are 5-6 against the spread.
Can Patrick Mahomes Do It Again?
Patrick Mahomes is special. After all we've seen from him, he has been doubted immensely this season. He was an underdog in the Divisional Round game against the Bills and he came away with another win. He is now 8-3 straight-up and 9-1-1 ATS in his career as an underdog.
In the last 20 years, Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks are 58-24-2 ATS (71%) as an underdog in the playoffs. Those quarterbacks are 25-8 ATS (76%) as a 'dog before winning the ring and 33-16-2 ATS (67%) after the ring — including 11-4 ATS since the 2018 playoffs.
Keep an eye on whether the Chiefs are the public side in this game. When the public doubts them, they are 14-7 ATS with Mahomes. When the public is backing Mahomes and the Chiefs, they are 45-42-3 ATS.
