Chiefs vs. Ravens AFC Championship Game Most Valuable Props: Lamar Jackson, Isaiah Likely

Chiefs vs. Ravens AFC Championship Game Most Valuable Props: Lamar Jackson, Isaiah Likely article feature image
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(Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images) Pictured: Lamar Jackson

Chiefs vs. Ravens Most Valuable Props

Chiefs Logo
Sunday, Jan. 28
3:00 p.m. ET
CBS
Ravens Logo
Chiefs Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+4
-110
44.5
-110o / -110u
+165
Ravens Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-4
-110
44.5
-110o / -110u
-200
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
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The Action Network's proprietary betting algorithms have targeted three top selections for this AFC Championship Game matchup between the Chiefs and Ravens on Sunday afternoon.

The betting models are targeting Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson and Ravens tight end Isaiah Likely.

We also have the public's favorite picks for this matchup. Our algorithms for Chiefs vs. Ravens are developed by our predictive analytics team, which make empirical predictions on every game with value and have created popular benchmark statistics like the Luck Rankings.

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Chiefs vs. Ravens Most Valuable Prop Bets

  1. Isaiah Likely under 22.5 receiving yards (-110)
  2. Isaiah Likely under 2.5 receptions (-180)
  3. Lamar Jackson under 65.5 rushing yards (+100)
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Chiefs vs. Ravens

Where's The Value?

Likely encompasses the top two most valuable props for the day, according to our algorithms. Likely is projected to put up roughly just 16 receiving yards on average on a 22.5 yard total. That market-best line is at FanDuel.

The models simulate thousands of iterations of this particular matchups — with roster adjustments in mind — and project an average figure for each player's props.

Meanwhile, Likely is only projected to put up 1.4 receptions on a 2.5 reception total.

As for Jackson's rushing yard total, he's only projected by our models to put up 56 yards on an even money 65.5 yard total.

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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