Christian McCaffrey has all three of the most popular NFL player prop bets for Thursday Night Football's 49ers vs. Seahawks.
That's no simple feat. And it's telling that even the sharps are aligned on this pick. Our premier data analytics guru Nick Giffen is all aboard the McCaffrey train tonight, too.
That's on account of a few factors, he said. With Deebo Samuel out for Thursday Night Football's 49ers vs. Seahawks, McCaffrey props are even more valuable.
Plus, with rookie quarterback Brock Purdy's first start on the road — and in a raucous Seattle night game environment — Giffen expects Kyle Shanahan to lean even more heavily on McCaffrey across all facets.
Yet still, Seattle's defense is bad defending running backs — both on the ground and through the passing game.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
49ers vs. Seahawks Most Popular NFL Player Prop Bets
- Christian McCaffrey to score an anytime TD (-150)
- Christian McCaffrey to record 25 or more receiving yards (-275)
- Christian McCaffrey to rush for 50 or more yards (-425)
*Odds and data are according to PointsBet as of Thursday afternoon.
The best value is on McCaffrey's TD prop, Giffen said.
His fair value line is at -150, according to Giffen. FanDuel and DraftKings provides a line of -145, which gives that wager a roughly 0.8% betting edge.
The other lines are reasonable, too, if you're particularly bullish about McCaffrey tonight. While those props may have value, the heavy vig is tough.
McCaffrey is projected to net about 37.5 yards receiving tonight, according to director of predictive analytics Sean Koerner's models. At a -275 vig, PointsBet is indicating that there's a 73.3% chance he achieves 25 or more yards through the air tonight.
Meanwhile, he's expected to rush for about 69 yards tonight against the Seahawks, according to our projections. At -425 juice, the sportsbook thinks there's an 81% chance McCaffrey nets 50 or more yards from the ground on Thursday Night Football.
