The Cleveland Browns (2-7) and New Orleans Saints (3-7) square off in NFL Week 11. Kickoff is set for in 1 p.m. ET from Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA. The game will be broadcast live on FOX.
The Saints are favored by 1 point over the Browns (Saints -1) with the game total set at 44.5 points scored. The Saints are a -110 favorite to win outright, while the Browns are -110 to pull off the upset.
The Browns lost 27-10 to the Chargers before their bye week. After leading the Browns past the Ravens in Week 9, Jameis Winston was sacked six times and threw three interceptions. The Saints won 20-17 over the Falcons last week to snap a seven-game losing streak. Derek Carr threw two touchdown passes to Marquez Valdes-Scantling and averaged 10.8 yards per attempt.
Let's get into my Saints vs Browns predictions and NFL picks for Week 11.
Browns vs. Saints Odds, Pick, Prediction
| Browns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -115 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | -110 |
| Saints Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -105 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | -110 |
- Browns vs. Saints spread: Saints -1
- Browns vs. Saints over/under: 44.5 points scored
- Browns vs. Saints moneyline: Browns -110, Saints -110
- Browns vs. Saints best bet: Browns +1.5
MyBrowns vs. Saints best bet is on Cleveland. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Spread
I think Cleveland should be favored in this matchup. New Orleans fired Dennis Allen and responded with a win over the Falcons that it was frankly lucky to get. Meanwhile, the Browns are in position to bounce back and match up well offensively against the Saints.
I'll take the point with Cleveland and fade the Saints.
Moneyline
I wouldn't blame you for betting the moneyline, but I'd prefer to play it safe and get a point in what could be an ugly, low-scoring matchup.
Over/Under
I have no pick on the over/under for this game.
My Pick: Browns +1.5
Browns vs. Saints NFL Week 11 Preview
This has been one of the oddest injury seasons I’ve ever seen in the NFL. Key players have been going down left and right due to various ailments.
Obviously, Deshaun Watson is out for the season, but the Browns had zero players on the injury report on Wednesday. That’s pretty remarkable in Week 11. If that’s not a good omen to start the week, I don’t know what is.
The Browns defense wasn’t playing horribly during a five-game losing streak from Weeks 3-7, allowing more than 21 points just once. Now, the secondary is healthy against a depleted Saints receiving corps.
The offensive line might be the biggest boost, which is fully healthy and should thrive on the ground game this week. I could see Nick Chubb really benefiting from the bye week as he was ramping up to full speed after a late 2024 debut.
Getting the ground game going will be especially important here. The Saints are 31st in DVOA against the run, so establishing the run on the road would be a big boost for Cleveland and will likely be an early priority.
While the Browns have a cclean injury report, it’s not the same story for the Saints. Their secondary is depleted, as is the aforementioned receiving corps. The offensive line hasn’t been good all season and certainly isn’t at full strength either.
I was on the Saints last week, figuring they’d come out with that “new-coach” bump, and they sure did. They also were fortunate. The usually reliable Younghoe Koo missed three field goals for the Falcons, and New Orleans got a few key fourth-down stops.
How sustainable is relying on deep shots to Marquez-Valdes Scantling as your main source of offense? Aside from his two touchdowns and big plays, New Orleans didn’t do much against Atlanta.
The difference between facing the Falcons and Browns is that Derek Carr had plenty of time to make plays in the pocket since Atlanta didn’t generate any pressure. Well, this week, Myles Garrett will likely make sure that isn’t the case.
The Browns are a top-five team in terms of pressure rate, and Carr’s numbers against pressure are night and day compared to when he has a clean pocket.
I’m sure Jameis Winston will have the Browns fired up in his return to New Orleans, but I’m expecting the Cleveland defense to shut down Carr.
I think the Browns should be favored here, so I’ll take the point and a half if I can get it.
My Pick: Browns +1.5
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