Courtland Sutton
ATD +150 (FanDuel)
This might seem like a pretty obvious choice, but that doesn’t mean it’s the wrong one.
Sutton finally found the end zone in Week 4, and he’s pretty clearly the Broncos’ No. 1 receiver, playing 91% of snaps this season. He leads the Broncos in red-zone targets with six, and he has at least one in every game.
The Colts have allowed three touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this year, a total I think Sutton will add to on Thursday night.
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Alec Pierce
ATD +380 (FanDuel)
After going chalkier with Sutton, we’ll take a longshot here.
Sportsbooks don’t expect much offense from the Colts offense, which hasn’t produced much of late and is going to be without RB1 Jonathan Taylor.
In the passing game, it’s a crapshoot for Indianapolis pass catchers after Michael Pittman Jr. Pierce has started to pick up momentum over the last two weeks, with two targets in the red zone and 11 overall. With those improving trends, I’ll bet him this week.
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Matt Ryan
To Throw Interception (-120)
Ryan has thrown three interceptions in four games this season and is facing a Broncos defense that ranks sixth in Football Outsiders’ Pass DVOA.
Denver only has one interception this season, but I think more are coming. The Broncos have 11 sacks this season (sixth in the NFL) and are very good at putting pressure on the opposing QB.
Also, without Taylor, I expect Indianapolis to rely more heavily on its passing game.
One final note in the for of a trend: Ryan has thrown an interception in six straight Thursday Night Football appearances dating back to 2017.
