With two more wins on Thursday Night Football, my write-ups using Sean Koerner and Chris Raybon's projections on Action Labs have produced nine straight winners.
I'm scratching the surface with what's possible with the elite set of data. There were three more props that showed value on Thursday that eventually were winners.
We'll start Saturday's tripleheader with Colts vs Vikings player props, featuring one key component of each team's offense.
Matt Ryan
Under 254.5 Passing Yards
Koerner is projecting Ryan for just 213.5 passing yards, while Raybon has him going under, as well, at 234.5.
Ryan has not cleared this total in his last five games, and he’s only done so in three of his 11 starts with the Colts.
If Ryan averages his 6.7 yards per attempt, that means he’ll need 38 throws to go over this total. He hasn’t attempted more than 37 passes in his four games since returning as the Colts’ starter.
Ryan has averaged fewer than 6.7 yards per attempt in three of his four starts since taking over for Sam Ehlinger, including 5.85 and 6.3 in his last two games.
The Vikings defense is clearly below average, ranking 27th against the pass and 14th against the run. Despite the strong matchup, this number simply seems too high.
Dalvin Cook
Over 70.5 Rushing Yards
Koerner’s projections have Cook pegged for 83 rushing yards, a clear edge on his 70.5 total, which was on the board as of 4 p.m. ET on Friday.
The Indianapolis defense is 15th against both the run and the pass, so the lack of quality presents a big bounce-back spot for Cook.
Last week, Cook had just 23 rushing yards on 15 carries in a plus matchup against the Lions. It was the second-lowest output for Cook this season.
Cook’s lowest rushing output was 17 yards back in Week 2 against the Eagles. He bounced back with a five-game stretch of 96, 76, 94, 77 and 111 rushing yards.
Overall, Cook has gone over 70.5 rushing yards in nine of his 13 games this season. It would make sense for the Vikings to feed their RB1 often to get him back on track.
Pick: Dalvin Cook Over 70.5 Rushing Yards |
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