Commanders vs. Cowboys Most Valuable Thanksgiving Prop Bets: Sam Howell, Michael Gallup, Rico Dowdle

Commanders vs. Cowboys Most Valuable Thanksgiving Prop Bets: Sam Howell, Michael Gallup, Rico Dowdle article feature image
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Commanders vs. Cowboys Odds, Most Valuable Thanksgiving Bets

Commanders Logo
Thursday, Nov. 23
4:30 p.m. ET
CBS
Cowboys Logo
Commanders Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+11.5
-110
48
-110o / -110u
+450
Cowboys Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-11.5
-110
48
-110o / -110u
-600
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo

The Action Network's proprietary betting algorithms have targeted three top selections for Commanders vs. Cowboys on Thanksgiving day.

The algorithms are targeting Commanders quarterback Sam Howell, Cowboys wide receiver Michael Gallup and Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle.

The betting models have been lights out this season, netting a roughly 10% ROI from a predictive analytics team that has created popular benchmark statistics like the Luck Rankings, among others.

We also have the public's favorite picks for this island game matchup.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys Most Valuable Prop Bets

  1. Michael Gallup under 25.5 receiving yards (-115)
  2. Sam Howell under 25.5 completions (-120)
  3. Rico Dowdle over 6.5 rush attempts (+124)
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Commanders vs. Cowboys

Where's The Value?

Gallup is projected to stay under 24.5 receiving yards 60% of the time, according to our expert Sean Koerner. And this total is at 25.5 — providing even more value. The best market price is at PointsBet, a Fanatics Experience.

Howell, meanwhile, is projected to put up 24 completions. Read more about my colleague Chris Raybon's analysis here. The best market price is at PointsBet, too.

And lastly, Dowdle is projected to put up closer to 8 rushing attempts tonight on an o6.5 total, according to our proprietary betting algorithms. And the plus money vig adds even more value to this prop. The best market price is at DraftKings.

The algorithms strata out thousands of permutations of this game to come up with an average number for each player stat line on the day.

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