Commanders vs Eagles Odds
| Commanders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -110 | 43 -110o / -110u | +325 |
| Eagles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -110 | 43 -110o / -110u | -425 |
Commanders vs. Eagles odds have the home team installed as a big favorite.
The Eagles look to remain undefeated, while the Commanders would move into a share of the NFC East lead with what would be a huge upset win. This is also a chance for Sam Howell to bounce back after the worst game of his career.
Let's preview the game and make our Commanders vs. Eagles pick.
Commanders vs. Eagles
Matchup Analysis
It has been an interesting start to the season for the defending NFC Champions.
The Eagles are 3-0, but they have had some close calls. They nearly lost in Week 1 against the Patriots, but New England's wide receivers couldn’t quite keep their feet in bounds. In Week 2, it took four lost fumbles by the Vikings for the Eagles to get the win. Last week, Philadelphia turned in a more convincing performance, but it was the defense that stole the show.
Jalen Hurts has had some struggles early this season. He averages a middling 6.9 yards per attempt, only 0.1 yards higher than Howell. Hurts also ranks 18th in the NFL with 5.9 net yards per passing play.
However, Philadelphia's rushing attack has been much stronger this season.
The Eagles rank second in rushing yards per game and, as a result, are also second in time of possession per game. The Eagles have won tight games by running the football efficiently, limiting opponent possessions and grinding out games.
It hasn’t been pretty, but it's gotten the job done.
Bet Washington vs. Philadelphia at FanDuel
The Commanders defense has been middle of the road, but they're tougher against the rush than the pass. They won’t be able to shut down Philadelphia's rushing attack, but they should put up a decent fight against the Eagles' offensive line.
Also, the Commanders defense has done a good job of keeping opponents out of the end zone. Washington ranks ninth in the league in keeping opponents out of the end zone once they get into the red zone.
Offensively, it's been an up-and-down year for Howell. He looked really sharp leading his team to back-to-back victories to start the season, but he was totally outmatched against the Bills. Washington ranks 27th in offensive passing DVOA, but has looked better on the ground and ranks sixth in rush offense DVOA.
Offensively, the Eagles and Commanders rank 21st and 25th, respectively in red-zone touchdown percentage.
I expect both offenses to run the ball and both defenses to put up a decent fight against the ground game. That will slowly grind away the clock and limit the amount of total possessions. Both defenses should also be able to hold the opponent to more field goals than touchdowns.
Commanders vs. Eagles
Betting Picks & Predictions
The Eagles have been in no rush to run up the score this season and I don’t expect anything different here.
Howell should struggle against the Eagles defense and he likely won't be able to hit downfield shots he did against Denver and Arizona.
All of that should lead this game to stay under the total (43.5).
Last season, divisional unders went 56-39-1 (58.9%). Since the 2009-10 season, they have hit consistently at a profitable 53.4% rate. Under Ron Rivera, Commanders divisional unders are hitting at a 7-3-2 (70%) mark.
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