NFL Week 11 has arrived, and it will kick off with the Washington Commanders (7-3) and Philadelphia Eagles (7-2). Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The game will be broadcast live on Prime Video.
Let's get to my Commanders vs. Eagles props and my NFL props for Thursday Night Football.
Sam Farley's Commanders vs. Eagles Player Props
- Jayden Daniels Over 221.5 Passing Yards (-115, bet365)
- Dallas Goedert Anytime Touchdown (+370, FanDuel)
- Saquon Barkley Under 13.5 Receiving Yards (-110, DraftKings)
Jayden Daniels Player Prop for Commanders vs. Eagles
Jayden Daniels Over 221.5 Passing Yards (-115)
On paper, this could be a very tricky game for Jayden Daniels. The Eagles defense is one of the best in the NFL and will be one of Daniels' toughest tests so far in his rookie season.
His passing yards prop for the game is 221.5, which he’s failed to hit in the past two weeks. However, he's exceeded that number in all but four games this season, not including the one game when he exited early with a rib injury.
The Eagles’ defense has been impressive lately, ranking seventh in DVOA. Philadelphia's defense ranks fifth in rushing yards allowed per game and third in passing yards allowed per game (173.4). Philadelphia hasn't faced the most grueling schedule of opposing quarterbacks, a group that includes Daniel Jones, Deshaun Watson, Cooper Rush and the struggling Jaguars offense.
The Eagles' pristine record against the pass feels inflated considering the opponents, and I expect them to regress against a higher-quality opponent.
Pick: Jayden Daniels Over 221.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Commanders vs. Eagles TD Scorer
Dallas Goedert Anytime Touchdown (+370)
In the touchdown scorer market, I'm throwing a dart with Goedert this week.
Goedert has had an up-and-down year, but he finally got in the end zone last week against the Cowboys. The Commanders defense is vulnerable against tight ends. Despite allowing the ninth-fewest receiving yards to the position, they've given up five touchdowns in 10 games.
Pick: Dallas Goedert Anytime Touchdown (+370)
Saquon Barkley Player Prop
Saquon Barkley Under 13.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
The Commanders defense still has a lot of question marks, but it has not allowed opposing running backs to thrive in the passing game this season.
Washington leads the NFL in receiving yards allowed to running backs and hasn't allowed a single receiving touchdown to one this season.
Barkley has seen plenty of targets so far this season, but he has been held to one target in two of his past three outings. Barkley has also failed to exceed 15 receiving yards in five of nine games this season.
