The public is riding exclusively with Cordarrelle Patterson tonight for Thursday Night Football's Falcons vs. Panthers.
That's on account of Carolina's fifth-worst defense, according to DVOA. Of course, it's contingent on how generally dynamic Patterson is, too.
His touchdown props and over on rushing yards is most of what the public is rocking with for this Thursday Night Football matchup.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
Falcons vs. Panthers Most Popular NFL Player Prop Bets
- Cordarrelle Patterson to score the first touchdown of the game (+650)
- Cordarrelle Patterson to score a touchdown anytime (+110)
- Cordarrelle Patterson to record over 54.5 receiving yards (-115)
*Odds and data are according to BetMGM as of Thursday afternoon.
There isn't an edge at all on Patterson's touchdown props — whether anytime or first scorer.
Patterson's fair value line to score the first touchdown is around +725. At MGM's price of +650, that means you're losing 1.21% of value by riding this line. It's not that horrible. If you were already planning on sweating this one out, this is fine to wager on.
And Patterson's fair value to score a touchdown anytime is about +100. This one seems more reasonable to the eye test, but the difference in value is a far steeper premium of 2.38%.
Meanwhile, our models indicate that Patterson is expected to put up 58 yards on the ground tonight. So, there's slight value here on MGM's prop line.
