We're going below two totals on PrizePicks tonight for Cowboys vs. Chargers on Monday Night Football. Use the PrizePicks Quickslips below to be directed straight to the app so you can make your pick.
Jake Ferguson
Less Than 36.5 Receiving Yards
This prop on Ferguson correlates well with the pick for Quentin Johnston below. If the Cowboys are in control of the game and the Chargers are throwing the ball more often than usual, don't expect Ferguson's total to be super high tonight.
Ferguson has gone more than with this total twice in five games this season. One of those games saw the Cowboys playing behind most of the time in a loss to the Cardinals.
This pick would also likely require four catches for Ferguson to go more than on. He’s done that twice this season. Otherwise, he’s had three catches twice and registered 11 and 28 receiving yards, respectively.
Sean Koerner is projecting Ferguson for 30.5 receiving yards on Monday Night Football, as well.
Quentin Johnston
More Than 31.5 Receiving Yards
Johnston is yet to clear this in the first four games of his NFL career. He's a talented receiver, but he isn't quite as polished as some of the other first-round receivers from the 2023 draft class.
However, Johnston has been elevated into three-receiver sets for the Chargers with Mike Williams out for the season. In Week 4, he saw his routes run rate jump up to 70%. He managed one catch for 18 yards, but Justin Herbert only attempted 24 passes in the win over the Raiders.
Tonight, we should see Herbert attempt 35-40 passes against the Cowboys. Plus, the Chargers are coming out of their bye week, and we typically see rookie receivers get a bit of a boost coming out of bye weeks since they have extra time to work on reps and improve.
Johnston is definitely a candidate to show signs of improvement following the bye week, especially now that he's in more of a starting role.
I'm projecting Johnston's median closer to 35.5, and I really like his upside tonight.
