Graham Gano
UNDER 1.5 Extra Points Made +150 (DraftKings)
The New York Giants have scored two touchdowns in each of their first two games this year, so you'd think we should be betting the over here.
However, first-year head coach Brian Daboll has gone for two on exactly half of those touchdowns, meaning Graham Gano has attempted only one extra point in each game.
So, while our Predictive Analytics team has the Giants projected for a median of just over two touchdowns, we project Gano's extra point attempts at 1.83.
The weather forecast calls for a 10 mph crosswind. While that isn't much, it does bump his conversion rate on extra points down by one-half percent.
All told, I have this prop going under 48.2% of the time, which is well above the 40% implied odds at +150.
I'd bet this down to +125.