Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions, Odds, Preview for Sunday Night Football

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions, Odds, Preview for Sunday Night Football article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured: Dak Prescott (left) and Justin Fields.

Starting soon
Odds Updating Soon
Matchup - 10/07 12:20am UTCSpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5-102
o44-111
+124
-2.5-119
u44-110
-148

The Dallas Cowboys (2-2) and Pittsburgh Steekers (3-1) will face off on Sunday Night Football for NFL Week 5. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on NBC, and the game can be streamed on Peacock and YouTube TV.

The Steelers are consensus 2.5-point favorites over the Cowboys on the spread (Steelers -2.5). The over/under is 44 after opening at 43. The Steelers are -150 to win outright, while the Cowboys are +125 to pull off the upset.

The Cowboys won 20-15 last week over the Giants. Dak Prescott has been solid with 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions in 4 games this season, but the Cowboys running game is averaging just 3.5 yards per carry. The Steelers lost 27-24 last week against the Colts, their first defeat of the season. Justin Fields has performed well this season with a 98 passer rating while averaging 7.6 yards per attempt.

Let's get into my Cowboys vs. Steelers predictions and my NFL picks for tonight.


Cowboys vs. Steelers Odds, Pick, Prediction

Cowboys Logo
Sunday, Oct. 6
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC
Steelers Logo
Cowboys Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5
+100
44
-110 / -110
+120
Steelers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2.5
-120
44
-110 / -110
-145
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
BetMGM Logo
  • Cowboys vs. Steelers spread: Steelers -2.5
  • Cowboys vs. Steelers over/under: 44 points
  • Cowboys vs. Steelers moneyline: Steelers -145, Cowboys +120
  • Cowboys vs. Steelers pick: Steelers -2.5

My Steelers vs. Cowboys best bet is on Pittsburgh. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.

Spread

My favorite pick for this game is on the spread, backing the home favorites in the Steelers.

Moneyline

I'm not betting the Steelers moneyline and am focused on betting the spread.

Over/Under

I lean toward the under but am not betting it.

My pick: Steelers -2.5

Cowboys vs. Steelers NFL Sunday Night Football

This is a classic Mike Tomlin spot. The Steelers are coming off of a loss and get a matchup at home. Not just that, but it’s in primetime against the Cowboys. I expect Tomlin will have his team ready to go here.

I lean toward the under here because the main reason I like Pittsburgh is because of the defense. The juice especially shows up in these spots for the Steelers on that side of the ball.

The Steelers are beat up on the offensive line, having lost multiple starters, but I think they’ll get some key players back. Zach Frazier is a name who has stepped up there and helped fill in gaps.

Offensively, the Steelers want to run the ball. That has been helped by the fact that Justin Fields has played well, exceeding all of my expectations. He can use his legs to extend drives and is making smart throws, picking and choosing the right times when to get the ball downfield to George Pickens. He has a really strong command of this offense.

This matchup is especially good because the Cowboys cannot stop the run. Dallas is 31st in line yards, 31st in rush efficiency and 31st in EPA per rush. The Cowboys can't stop the run at all and will not have DeMarcus Lawrence or Michael Parsons.

Parsons is one of the most valuable defensive players in the NFL. Looking at that front seven and defensive line, I don’t see much without him. This Dallas defense is giving up a ton of explosive runs, which is where the Steelers offense has thrived.

Offensively, the Cowboys are giving Dak Prescott no help at all with an inability to run the ball. The backfield is unsettled and the offensive line is struggling. You have two good guards, but the rest of the unit is underwhelming.

There's going to be a lot of clear passing situations for Dallas, and T.J. Watt is inevitable. He’s going to make a big play in this game.

Overall, it’s a great spot for Pittsburgh and an easy fade of the Cowboys.

Pick: Steelers -2.5

Steelers vs. Cowboys Betting Trends

  • 77% of bets and 76% of the money are on the Cowboys to cover the spread.
  • 77% of bets and 76% of the money are on the over.
  • 40% of bets and 73% of the money on the moneyline are on the Cowboys.

Cowboys vs. Steelers Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How to Watch

Location:Acrisure Stadium
Date:Sunday, Oct. 6
Kickoff Time:8:20 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:NBC / Peacock and YouTube TV

Steelers vs. Cowboys is scheduled for a 8:20 p.m. ET start time, live from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA, on Sunday night. The game is broadcasted live by NBC and is streaming on Peacock and YouTube TV.

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About the Author
Stuckey is a senior betting analyst at Action Network, focusing on college football, college basketball, and the NFL. He hosts The Action Network Podcast and co-hosts the Big Bets on Campus podcast with Collin Wilson and Brett McMurphy. Stuckey was Action Network’s first content hire in 2017, helping launch their award-winning app, and continues to work closely with their development team. A CFA Charterholder, Stuckey has been betting since 2003 and has a background as a derivatives analyst in the financial industry. He holds an MBA from George Washington University.

Follow Stuckey @Stuckey2 on Twitter/X.

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