Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Week 12 article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured: Cooper Rush (left) and Jayden Daniels.

NFC East rivals, the Dallas Cowboys (3-7) and Washington Commanders (7-4), clash in NFL Week 12. Kickoff is set for in 1 p.m. ET from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md. The game will be broadcast live on FOX and can be streamed on YouTube TV.

The Commanders are favored by 10 points with the game total set at 45 points. The Commanders are -575 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Cowboys are +425 underdogs.

The Cowboys lost 34-10 to the Texans on Monday Night Football and are averaging eight points over their last two games. Cooper Rush threw for more than 300 yards against Houston, but it was all too little, too late. The Commanders lost 26-18 last week to the Eagles, giving up 20 fourth-quarter points. Washington has lost its last two games but is 4-1 at home straight-up this season.

Let's get into my Cowboys vs. Commanders predictions and NFL picks.


Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds, Pick, Prediction

Cowboys Logo
Sunday, Nov. 24
1 p.m. EST
FOX
Commanders Logo
Cowboys Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+10
-110
45
-110o / -110u
+410
Commanders Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-10
-110
45
-110o / -110u
-556
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Cowboys vs. Commanders spread: Commanders -10
  • Cowboys vs. Commanders over/under: 45 points scored
  • Cowboys vs. Commanders moneyline: Commanders -575, Cowboys +410
  • Cowboys vs. Commanders best bet: Cowboys +11

MyCowboys vs. Commanders pick is on on Dallas. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.


Spread

Simply put, I cannot get to this number. I'm projecting the spread closer to Commanders -8, so I'm happy to take the points with the Cowboys as we get past the key number of 10.

Moneyline

I'm not betting the Cowboys moneyline and I am happy to take the points.

Over/Under

I'm projecting this total at 44.5, so I'm close to the market and have no pick.

My Pick: Cowboys +11

Cowboys vs. Commanders NFL Week 12 Preview

Dallas has looked awful the past two weeks, getting outscored 68-16 between its losses to the Eagles and Texans.

Without Dak Prescott, this offense is in shambles, and it doesn’t help that Cooper Rush’s first two starts of the season were against two of the best defenses in the NFL.

Rush isn’t the worst quarterback of all time. We’ve seen him lead Dallas to wins in the past in place of Prescott. He’s not a Tim Boyle-caliber quarterback.

Last week against the Texans, Dallas was within 10 points in the fourth quarter. Everything went wrong in the fourth, though, and it started with a Cowboys fumble that Houston returned for a touchdown. It was an ugly watch – and rewatch – but this wasn’t as bad as the final score indicates.

I think Dallas gets up for this divisional matchup after getting blown out in its last NFC East game two weeks ago. There’s a bit of familiarity here, too.

Dan Quinn was the Cowboys’ defensive coordinator for the previous three seasons, and he left for a division rival.

Also, the Commanders are vulnerable. They won on a miracle Hail Mary four weeks ago, then beat the Giants by five points and have lost their last two games.

Jayden Daniels has looked much more human over the past few weeks, and I think some of it has to do with the fact that offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury’s offenses generally go in the toilet around this time of the season.

It’s not random. I think he’s one of those coordinators who doesn’t move his receivers around too much and teams can adjust for that. You know what Kingsbury’s offense will look like in terms of tendencies, so this is the time of year to fade the side he’s on.

Ultimately, I think the market is still overrating Washington.

The Commanders have looked human the past four weeks, and I simply can’t get to this spread. I project it closer to Commanders -8. Getting more than 10 is great.

My Pick: Cowboys +11


Commanders vs Cowboys Betting Trends

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About the Author
Chris Raybon is a senior betting analyst at the Action Network, specializing in NFL, NBA, and fantasy football betting. He hosts The Action Network Podcast, with profitable NFL ATS picks every season, and the Fantasy Flex Podcast, while regularly appearing on NBA TV’s NBA BET and Turner Sports’ The Line. With over 15 years of betting experience, Chris boasts a 57% all-time winning percentage on NFL bets and top-5 finishes in FantasyPros accuracy rankings.

Follow Chris Raybon @ChrisRaybon on Twitter/X.

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