NFC East rivals, the Dallas Cowboys (3-7) and Washington Commanders (7-4) will face off in NFL Week 12 at 1 p.m. ET from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md. The game will be broadcast live on FOX and can be streamed on YouTube TV.
The Commanders are favored by 10.5 points over the Cowboys (Commanders -10.5) with the game total set at over/under 45 points scored. The Commanders are -600 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Cowboys are +450 to pull off an unlikely upset.
The Cowboys lost 34-10 to the Texans on Monday Night Football and are averaging 8 points over their last 2 games. Cooper Rush threw for more than 300 yards last week, but most of it came too late. The Commanders lost 26-18 last week to the Eagles, giving up 20 fourth-quarter points. Washington has lost its last 2 games but is 4-1 at home.
Let's get into my Cowboys vs. Commanders picks and NFL picks.
Cowboys vs. Commanders Prediction
Spread
Simply put, I cannot get to this number. I'm projecting the spread closer to Commanders -8, so I'm happy to take the points with the Cowboys as we get past the key number of 10.
Moneyline
I'm not betting the Cowboys moneyline and I am happy to take the points.
Over/Under
I'm projecting this total at 44.5, so I'm close to the market and have no pick.
My Pick: Cowboys +10.5
Cowboys vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Cowboys Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10.5 -110 | 45 -110o / -110u | +450 |
| Commanders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1010.5 col1homeline= | 45 -110o / -110u | -600 |
- Cowboys vs. Commanders spread: Commanders -10.5
- Cowboys vs. Commanders over/under: 45 points scored
- Cowboys vs. Commanders moneyline: Commanders -600, Cowboys +450
- Cowboys vs. Commanders best bet: Cowboys +10.5
MyCowboys vs. Commanders pick is on on Dallas. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Cowboys vs. Commanders NFL Week 12 Preview
Dallas has looked awful the past two weeks, getting outscored 68-16 between its losses to the Eagles and Texans.
Without Dak Prescott, this offense is in shambles, and it doesn’t help that Cooper Rush’s first two starts of the season were against two of the best defenses in the NFL.
Rush isn’t the worst quarterback of all time. We’ve seen him lead Dallas to wins in the past in place of Prescott. He’s not a Tim Boyle-caliber quarterback.
Last week against the Texans, Dallas was within 10 points in the fourth quarter. Everything went wrong in the fourth, though, and it started with a Cowboys fumble that Houston returned for a touchdown. It was an ugly watch – and rewatch – but this wasn’t as bad as the final score indicates.
I think Dallas gets up for this divisional matchup after getting blown out in its last NFC East game two weeks ago. There’s a bit of familiarity here, too.
Dan Quinn was the Cowboys’ defensive coordinator for the previous three seasons, and he left for a division rival.
Also, the Commanders are vulnerable. They won on a miracle Hail Mary four weeks ago, then beat the Giants by five points and have lost their last two games.
Jayden Daniels has looked much more human over the past few weeks, and I think some of it has to do with the fact that offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury’s offenses generally go in the toilet around this time of the season.
It’s not random. I think he’s one of those coordinators who doesn’t move his receivers around too much and teams can adjust for that. You know what Kingsbury’s offense will look like in terms of tendencies, so this is the time of year to fade the side he’s on.
Ultimately, I think the market is still overrating Washington.
The Commanders have looked human the past four weeks, and I simply can’t get to this spread. I project it closer to Commanders -8. Getting more than 10 is great.
My Pick: Cowboys +10.5
Commanders vs Cowboys Betting Trends
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