I'm back at it again with another special teams prop!
Raiders kicker Daniel Carlson faces his former team on Sunday at Allegiant Stadium, and the analytics indicate there's a strong case for backing his field goals made prop.
Carlson has converted 84% of his field-goal attempts this season and has had at least two FG opportunities in five of the last six games with Aidan O'Connell as the Raiders' starting quarterback.
According to Team Rankings, Minnesota has the third-lowest opponent red-zone scoring percentage (36.8%) when playing on the road.
Additionally, kickers average 2.50 attempts (fifth most) against the Vikings defense. The last two kickers to face Minnesota — Wil Lutz and Cairo Santos — had at least four attempts each.
The lack of TD conversions inside the red zone for the Raiders has been a common theme throughout the season as they rank 27th in success rate. Josh Jacobs is their workhorse back, but matching up against a Vikings defense that permits the fifth-lowest yards per carry won't do him any favors.