DeAndre Hopkins, Rhamondre Stevenson and James Conner have the most popular NFL player prop bets for Monday Night Football's Patriots vs. Cardinals.
These props are all in the anytime TD market — even among these two incredibly dismal offenses.
Our premier data analytics expert Nick Giffen assessed the value for each of those popular picks.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
Patriots vs. Cardinals Most Popular NFL Player Prop Bets
- DeAndre Hopkins to score an anytime TD (+135)
- Rhamondre Stevenson to score an anytime TD (-170)
- James Conner to score an anytime TD (-110)
*Odds and data are according to PointsBet as of Monday afternoon.
Out of these picks, Rhamondre Stevenson's anytime TD prop provides the most value, but the line is still more expensive than its fair value price, Giffen said.
Stevenson's anytime TD prop should be closer to -161, according to Giffen. At PointsBet's -170 clip, you're losing out on 1.3% of betting value. But, if you're already bullish about that line, that discrepancy isn't all too menacing.
The Patriots running back is projected to score about 61.7% of the time for a matchup against the Cardinals on the road, factoring in Patriots running back Damien Harris and wide receiver Jakobi Meyers' absences.
At -170, the line implies Harris will score about 63% of the time.
It's James Conner's anytime TD line that has the worst market efficiency. While Conner's odds should be +140, Giffen said, PointsBet's odds at -110 are 11% worse.
Meanwhile, DeAndre Hopkins' fair price is at +147. At PointsBet's +135 clip, there's a 3% premium there.
