Five years ago, DeAndre Hopkins had 115 receptions and 1,407 receiving yards. He was one of the best receivers in the NFL.
Now, he’s a supporting player on the Chiefs and we have DeAndre Hopkins player props for the Super Bowl.
Here’s a breakdown of how Hopkins’ season has gone and what to expect from him for Chiefs vs. Eagles.
DeAndre Hopkins Player Props
If I told you before the playoffs that we’d be getting plus money on DeAndre Hopkins receptions overs, you likely would have asked how much you could bet on it.
Hopkins ended the regular season by going over 1.5 receptions in 10 straight games. In two playoff games, though, he only has one reception on three targets for 11 yards.
Hopkins’ role has also changed since initially joining the Chiefs after six low-production games with the Titans. He had 14.3 yards per reception on 14 catches in his first three games after the trade, but he averaged just 9.9 YPR in the final seven games of the regular season.
In Hopkins’ last four games, including the playoffs, Hopkins’ average depth of target hasn’t been higher than 7.8. He’s not a big-play threat in this Chiefs offense.
Hopkins’ role has simply begun to decrease, as well. He has been on the field for 26 passing snaps between the Chiefs’ two playoff games. Hopkins actually played fewer snaps in the win over the Bills than he did against the Texans, against whom Kansas City was playing with a lead and it’d make sense for him to not play as much in a run-heavy environment.
Expert Sean Koerner is showing value on both of Hopkins’ overs, projecting him for 2.2 receptions and 20.3 receiving yards compared to his 11.5 total.
I’d recommend going over on yards. Hopkins is a talented enough player that I trust his ability, but the volume might not necessarily be there if the Chiefs are playing with a lead.
Pick: DeAndre Hopkins Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (-120, DraftKings)
