Pros, big money and experts have an idea how the Dolphins vs. Patriots outcome will unfold Sunday in Week 5.
Taking place at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, both teams come into the 1 p.m. ET game with their own challenges. The Dolphins, with a record of 1-3 straight up and 1-2-1 against the spread, are looking to rebound after a tough start to the season.
They'll be relying on key performances from star wide receiver Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. On the other side, the Patriots are slight underdogs at +1, with an over/under set at 36 points for the game.
This contest presents several intriguing betting angles to consider, from the spread to the over/under, as well as the moneyline.
Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds, Picks, Predictions
| Dolphins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -110 | 35.5 -112o / -108u | -115 |
| Patriots Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -110 | 35.5 -112o / -108u | +100 |
- Dolphins vs. Patriots spread: Dolphins -1
- Dolphins vs. Patriots over/under: 36
- Dolphins vs. Patriots moneyline: Dolphins -115, Patriots +100
Spread
The betting spread is set at Dolphins favored by a slim margin of -1, with odds of -105, indicating a close contest expected by the market.
Over/Under
The Dolphins vs. Patriots over/under is 36, the lowest of Week 5
Moneyline
The moneyline lists the Dolphins as favorites at -115, with the Patriots posted as +100 home underdogs.
Player Prop
Scanning PRO Props Projections, one pick with a small edge is New England RB Antonio Gibson to score the first touchdown.
According to market odds, Gibson is +1100 at BetMGM to score first, implying an 8.3% chance.
PRO Projections predict Gibson to score 11% of the time. It's just a 2.7% edge, which falls short of our recommendation of 3.5%.
Dolphins vs. Patriots Prediction
Across a bunch of betting markets for Dolphins vs. Patriots, the total sticks out as a sharp play in Week 5.
Point Spread
There are signs of sharp action on Miami, indicating that professional bettors are tipping the Dolphins, potentially impacting the spread. With Miami capturing 48% of the money but only 41% of bets, there's a divergence between the public's sentiment and the betting sharps.
Total
When turning to total points, expert projections suggest significant value on the