Dawson Knox
Anytime Touchdown +200 (FanDuel)
Dawson Knox enters the postseason on a scoring binge, with a touchdown in each of his last four games.
He’ll look to stay hot against the Dolphins, who are in the bottom five in DVOA vs. tight ends. They’ve given up the fourth-most scores to the position with 10. Knox scored against Miami the last time they played in the mid-December Snow Bowl.
Knox has been a red-zone threat all season, as four of his six touchdowns have been from that distance. He’s also a proven postseason performer with four touchdowns in six games. Notably, he has three in four playoff home games.
As I said throughout the regular season, Knox is an auto-bet whenever his odds are at least +200. He’s been above that figure in nine games and scored in six of them.
Pick: Dawson Knox Anytime TD |
Jaylen Waddle
Anytime Touchdown +340 (FanDuel)
While Tyreek Hill gets all the acclaim, Jaylen Waddle is actually the better receiver – just my opinion.
Waddle racked up eight touchdowns this season despite not being 100% for most of the season and Tua Tagovailoa constantly being in and out of the picture due to concussion issues.
Tua won’t be available for this game, but I still like his chance with how Buffalo’s defense has played of late.
The Bills secondary, in particular, isn’t sharp right now. They’ve allowed six touchdowns to receivers in their last three contests – 18 overall after only permitting six last season. That gaudy total has them 29th in the league after ranking first in 2021.
Hill’s presence helps this play. Waddle scored in that aforementioned Snow Bowl game, and part of the reason why is Buffalo had its safeties doubling up on Hill.
Pick: Jaylen Waddle Anytime TD |
