Dolphins vs. Chiefs Most Valuable Prop Bets: Mecole Hardman, De’Von Achane

Dolphins vs. Chiefs Most Valuable Prop Bets: Mecole Hardman, De’Von Achane article feature image
Credit:

Getty Images. Pictured: De’Von Achane.

Dolphins vs. Chiefs Odds: Mecole Hardman, De'Von Achane

Dolphins Logo
Saturday, Jan 13
8:10pm ET
Peacock
Chiefs Logo
Dolphins Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+5
-110
43.5
-110o / -110u
+195
Chiefs Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-5
-110
43.5
-110o / -110u
-240
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
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The Action Network's proprietary betting algorithms have targeted three top selections for this Wild Card Round matchup between the Dolphins and Chiefs on Saturday night.

The betting models are targeting one Chiefs skill position player to underperform his metrics and one Dolphins player to overperform his metrics.

Our algorithms for Dolphins vs. Chiefs are developed by our predictive analytics team, which make empirical predictions on every game with value and have created popular benchmark statistics like the Luck Rankings.

We also have the public's favorite picks for this matchup.

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Dolphins vs. Chiefs Most Valuable Prop Bets

  1. Mecole Hardman to record under 1.5 receptions (+115)
  2. Mecole Hardman to record under 14.5 receiving yards (-110)
  3. De'Von Achane to record over 8.5 rushing attempts (-110)
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Dolphins vs. Chiefs

Where's The Value?

Hardman encompasses the top two most valuable props for the day, according to our algorithms. Hardman is projected to put up roughly 0.9 receptions on average.

The models simulate thousands of iterations of this particular matchups — with roster adjustments in mind — and project an average figure for each player's props.

Meanwhile, Hardman is projected to put up about 10 receiving yards, on average, according to the models. Both of the market-best odds are available at DraftKings.

As for the over, Achane is projected to put up 10.5 rushing yards on average on an 8.5 yard total.

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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