Sunday Night Football Odds: Dolphins vs Eagles Prediction, Picks
| Dolphins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+3 -115 | 51.5 -110o / -110u | +130 |
| Eagles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-3 -105 | 51.5 -110o / -110u | -150 |
Dolphins vs. Eagles odds for Sunday Night Football have Philadelphia installed as 3-point favorites on the spread in this clash between two of the NFL's elite. The game total over/under has mostly settled at 51.5, though Caesars Sportsbook and BetRivers are offering 52 as kickoff nears.
This SNF matchup has an intriguing narrative behind it with former Alabama teammates Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts squaring off for the first time in the NFL. Beyond the quarterbacks, the Eagles are also coming off their first loss of the season, a stunner to the Jets in Week 6.
Will the Eagles rebound or will the Dolphins continue to overwhelm with their relentless offensive attack?
Find out in my Sunday Night Football preview below, which includes Dolphins vs. Eagles picks and predictions on the spread and moneyline — plus a DVOA breakdown.
Maximize your Dolphins vs. Eagles pick with Action's Caesars Sportsbook promo code.
Dolphins vs. Eagles
Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Dolphins and Eagles match up statistically:
Dolphins vs. Eagles DVOA Breakdown (via FTN Fantasy)
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Overall DVOA | 1 | 13 | |
| Pass DVOA | 2 | 20 | |
| Rush DVOA | 1 | 2 |  |
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Overall DVOA | 7 | 27 | |
| Pass DVOA | 12 | 22 | |
| Rush DVOA | 2 | 25 | |
Despite being the NFL's last undefeated team — before getting upset by the Jets last week — the Eagles haven't looked quite as sharp as last year's Super Bowl team. The likely cause is losing both their offensive coordinator (Shane Steichen) and defensive coordinator (Jonathan Gannon) over the offseason.
The biggest concern in this matchup against the Dolphins for Philadelphia is that its pass defense has been shaky, ranking 20th in DVOA (after ranking first a year ago). Part of the problem for the Eagles is down to injury — starting perimeter cornerbacks Darius Slay and James Bradberry have each missed a game while starting nickel Avonte Maddox tore his pec in Week 2 — but they also haven't been good, especially against opposing wide receivers, which is a concern against Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.
Against wide receivers, the Eagles have allowed the fifth-most receptions per game (15.3), 10th-most receiving yards per game (173.8) and fourth-most touchdowns per game (1.33). Almost every half-decent wide receiver has burned the Eagles this season:
- Week 1: Kendrick Bourne 6/64/2
- Week 2: Justin Jefferson 11/159/0; Jordan Addison 3/72/1; K.J. Osborn 3/34/1
- Week 3: Mike Evans 5/60/1
- Week 4: Terry McLaurin 8/86/0; Curtis Samuel 7/51/0; Jahan Dotson 4/27/1
- Week 5: Cooper Kupp 8/118/0; Puka Nacua 7/71/1
- Week 6: Garrett Wilson 8/90/0
Bet Miami vs. Philadelphia at FanDuel
Slay is now 32 years old and currently has a career-worst 50.6 coverage grade. Safety Reed Blankenship, who has the sixth-best coverage grade among safeties (79.2), has been ruled out with a rib injury.
The Eagles pass offense has dropped off as well, dropping from fifth in DVOA a season ago to 12th this year.
Compared to last season, Jalen Hurts has struggled at times to read the field as quickly or effectively. With the pass offense and pass defense stuck in neutral, the Eagles' success will likely come down to whether they can effectively play keep away by using their rushing attack, which ranks second in DVOA.
The Dolphins can certainly be run on, as their defense ranks just 25th in DVOA against opposing ground attacks.
Dolphins vs. Eagles
Betting Picks & Predictions
Handicapping this game is difficult because a lot depends on whether the Eagles can get a lead and shorten the game. We're also only six weeks into the season, so it's hard to judge exactly how much regression we should expect from the Dolphins offense, which is currently on a historic pace.
On one hand, despite the Eagles' drop-off on defense, they're still closer in quality to the likes of the Bills and Patriots units that kept the Dolphins relatively in check than the Chargers, Broncos, Giants and Panthers units that Miami steamrolled.
On the other hand, the Dolphins' rush offense is No. 1 in DVOA (32.2%) by a wide margin, more than doubling up the Eagles' No. 2 rushing attack (15.1%). Good offense tends to beat good defense, so the Eagles' No. 2 run defense may not be as much of a strength as it appears to be on paper. If Philly is able to stop the run, however, winds expected to reach 13 mph would work in its favor.
Ultimately, I think the Dolphins are the more dangerous team and more likely than not to be the right side, but there is a lot of variance and uncertainty involved.
I would have more confidence in the Dolphins if they didn't play so poorly at Buffalo and if this wasn't a windy night game, so it's more of a lean.
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Maximize your Dolphins vs. Eagles action with our FanDuel promo code.
