Every Dolphins offensive starter near the odds board has seen his odds steamed, especially for a primetime game. This is an instance where you shouldn't be afraid to look for a longshot down the board.
I was hoping to get Jaylen Waddle closer to +190, but +170 just isn't enough for me. I like him to score but wish we were getting a better price.
As enticing as it might be, don't bother with Tua Tagoaviloa. He has gone 26 straight games without finding the end zone himself.
Smythe hasn't scored a touchdown this season, but he's been heavily involved in the offense. He's the only tight end on the team to play more than 75% of snaps.
The Eagles defense still likes to funnel opposing offenses down the middle of the field. In fact, Philadelphia has given up three touchdowns already this season to opposing tight ends.
With so much scoring potential and so many players at lower numbers, I'd rather take a flier on someone like Smythe or backup TE Julian Hill.
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I was interested in DeVonta Smith at +210, but that price could be hinting that he's not fully healed from his hamstring injury. Olamide Zacchaeus could be a decent option at 7-1 if Quez Watkins is ruled out and Smith is limited.
Kenneth Gainwell is +350, but he's in the "No Bet Zone". He hasn't been getting enough work to justify that price.
Hurts only has one multi-touchdown game this season, but he's getting all of the Eagles' volume at the goal line. He has six carries inside the 5-yard line for five touchdowns. He has scored those five touchdowns across four of six games this season.
The Dolphins defense is a bit overrated against the run, ranking in the bottom 10 in the NFL in rush yards allowed. Also, Justin Herbert and Josh Allen both found the end zone against Miami earlier this season.
With all the interceptions Hurts has thrown of late, he'd be better off just using his legs and finishing the job himself. Here's to him doing it twice in this potential shootout.