Dolphins vs. Patriots Most Valuable SNF Prop Bets: Tua Tagovailoa, Mac Jones, Juju Smith-Schuster

Dolphins vs. Patriots Most Valuable SNF Prop Bets: Tua Tagovailoa, Mac Jones, Juju Smith-Schuster article feature image
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Dolphins Logo
Sunday, Sept. 17
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC
Patriots Logo
Dolphins Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2.5
-110
46
-110o / -110u
-150
Patriots Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5
-110
46
-110o / -110u
+125
Odds via PointsBet. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
PointsBet Logo

The most valuable prop bets for Dolphins vs. Patriots on Sunday Night Football involve Tua Tagovailoa, Mac Jones and Juju Smith-Schuster.

The Action Network's proprietary betting algorithms have produced the three most valuable player props for Sunday Night Football: Dolphins vs. Patriots.

The algorithms for Dolphins vs. Patriots are developed by our predictive analytics team, which make empirical predictions on every game with value and have created popular benchmark statistics like the Luck Rankings.

We wrote earlier today about the public's favorite picks.

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Dolphins vs. Patriots

  1. Mac Jones to rush for over 5.5 yards (-105)
  2. Tua Tagovailoa to rush for over 4.5 yards (-122)
  3. Juju Smith-Schuster to record more than 31.5 receiving yards (-114)
Header First Logo

Dolphins vs. Patriots

Where's The Value?

The algorithms are keen on both quarterbacks to tuck it and run more than normal on account of bad defensive lines — the Dolphins and Patriots rank among the bottom half in their front threes. While both teams don't have the best offensive lines in the league, either, the lack of a consistent pass rush should allow both quarterbacks to rollout and stretch for first downs when progressions break down more than would typically be allowed.

Patriots quarterback Mac Jones, for instance, is projected to rush for eight yards on the night on a 5.5 total. Meanwhile, Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has a projection of seven yards on a 4.5 yard total.

The best price on the market for Jones is with PointsBet at a -105 vig. The best price for Tagovailoa's rush yards is at BetRivers at a vig of -122.

Patriots wide receiver Juju Smith-Schuster holds the third most valuable prop of the night, according to our algorithms. Smith-Schuster is projected to put up closer to 42 yards in this matchup, on average. Meanwhile, the best price on the market is with FanDuel at o31.5 yards (-114).

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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