Dustin Hopkins Kicking Points
| Prop | Under 7.5 Total Kicking Points (-122) |
| Matchup | Broncos vs. Chargers |
| Time | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| Best Book | BetRivers |
Until the books adjust, I’m going to keep taking the under on Dustin Hopkins’ kicking points player prop.
Hopkins averages 6.5 kicking points per game while the Broncos allow an average of 7.4.
Broncos +4 | Chargers -4
Working against him is the fact that the Chargers have the fourth most attempts on fourth downs per game. They also have the fifth highest rate of going for it on fourth down this season.
Los Angeles hasn’t attempted any two-point conversions this season. It had the sixth highest rate in 2021, so it could regress back to 2021 numbers, especially if this turns out to be a close game.
Hopkins projects for under 1.5 field goals and under 2.5 extra points made, but while each are individually +expected value (EV) according to predictive analytics projections, I’d just take the combo of under 7.5 kicking points.
My model has him going under slightly more than 61% of the time and I’d bet this to -135.
