Eagles vs Chiefs Player Props: MNF Bets
In the table below, you'll find each of Michael Crosson's Eagles vs. Chiefs player props for Monday Night Football Week 11, including bets for Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes and Rashee Rice.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Eagles vs. Chiefs
For a variety of reasons, this has the makings of the most compelling primetime matchup of the season thus far, and believe it or not, that claim to fame has nothing to do with the presence of Taylor Swift.
The Eagles and Chiefs are set to square off in a rematch of Super Bowl LVII on Monday night — a date that has been circled on the Birds’ calendar for quite some time after losing a 38-35 heartbreaker to Kansas City in last year’s title game.
On top of that, this matchup also contains the widely beloved Kelce sibling rivalry, the top two finishers in last year’s MVP voting (Mahomes and Hurts), and, of course, another grudge match for Chiefs head coach Andy Reid as he hosts his former team for the fifth time since his departure from Philly.
But above all, I believe there’s solid betting value on the road 'dogs, especially in the player prop department. For instance, the anytime touchdown scorer line for Jalen Hurts was listed somewhere around +120 at most books on Sunday morning, which must be a reflection of his lingering knee issue as opposed to his recent track record. Hurts has scored a rushing touchdown in four of the Eagles’ last five games, and he’s found the end zone in 6-of-9 contests this season.
The almighty Tush Push is a crucial part of Philly’s offensive strategy, and all things considered, I believe the Eagles would opt to keep Hurts sidelined for this contest if he wasn’t healthy enough to run their trademark QB sneak.
Regardless of your personal stance on the Brotherly Shove, it’s tough to deny the value of this play at plus money.
Eagles vs. Chiefs
Historically speaking, this should be a great spot to back Kansas City. However, the Chiefs are playing a different brand of football compared to previous years. So I’m choosing to discard most of the long-running Patrick Mahoms trends when it comes to this matchup.
After finishing top six in scoring and total yardage in five straight campaigns, the Chiefs have scored 21 points or fewer in over half of their games this season (five). Quite frankly, the only reason their offense has avoided falling to the bottom half of the league in scoring is because they ran away with double-digit victories over the Bears and Chargers to pad their numbers with point totals of 41 and 31.
That said, I don’t blame Mahomes for the Chiefs’ lackluster offensive production. But the fact of the matter is Kansas City’s pass-catchers have consistently struggled to get open all season (except Kelce), and as a result, Mahomes is beginning to force a ton of bad throws downfield.
Prior to this season, Mahomes’ career high in interceptions was 13 (2021). He’s already thrown eight interceptions this year, which puts him on pace to clear his previous worst by over two picks, currently tracking for 15.1 interceptions.
Mahomes managed to keep a clean sheet in the interception department in Kansas City’s latest affair. Prior to that, Mahomes was picked off in three straight games, and he’s thrown an interception in 6-of-9 contests this season. I'll back him to another here.
Pick: Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Interception (-115)
Eagles vs. Chiefs
Travis Kelce is one of the best pass-catching tight ends of all time, but the Mahomes-Kelce combo doesn’t single-handedly equate to an elite aerial attack. The Chiefs offense is still good, but it’s tough for them to be great with just one trick up their sleeve.
In order to move the ball consistently against top-shelf defensive units like Philly's, somebody else needs to make a few big plays – and for my money, I think rookie wideout Rashee Rice could be that guy for Kansas City.
Kelce leads the Chiefs in receptions (57) by a distant margin despite playing in only 8-of-9 games. Rice comfortably ranks second in the pecking order with 32 receptions, followed by Isiah Pacheco at 24, Kadarius Toney at 20 and Noah Gray at 18. Also of note: Rice played less than 52% of K.C.'s offensive snaps in every game prior to Week 7.
Over the last few weeks, Rice has seen his snap count steadily rise as he further solidifies his role as the No. 2 option in the passing game. Rice played 59% of the Chiefs’ offensive snaps in Week 7, 61% in Week 8 and 68% in Week 9 – resulting in a touchdown in two of those three games.
I’ll roll the dice on the rookie to find the end zone again this week.
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