One of the biggest matchups of the NFL season caps the Sunday Week 14 slate, and we have Eagles vs Cowboys best bets: props and picks for Sunday Night Football.
Eagles vs Cowboys odds have Dallas installed as either a 3- or 3.5-point favorite on the spread with an over/under of 52 or 52.5, depending on the sportsbook. Our NFL betting analysts are all over the player props market for Sunday Night Football with prop picks for A.J. Brown, Brandin Cooks and KaVontae Turpin.
Check out our SNF betting preview for this NFC East showdown and our three Eagles vs Cowboys best bets below.
Eagles vs Cowboys Best Bets: Props & Picks for Sunday Night Football
Time (ET) | Pick |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
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Eagles vs Cowboys Odds
Eagles Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 +100 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | +145 |
Cowboys Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -120 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | -165 |
Eagles vs. Cowboys
The Eagles defense allows 17 receptions per game to opposing wide receivers, which is the second most league-wide. When these teams met in Week 9, Dak Prescott lit up the 24th-ranked Eagles pass defense according to DVOA to the tune of 374 passing yards. Since then, it is clear the target distribution has narrowed for the Cowboys offense with the biggest beneficiary being Brandin Cooks.
Prescott and Cooks have been uber-efficient given the attention defenses must pay to CeeDee Lamb. Prescott and Cooks have connected on 18 of 21 attempts, for an average of 18.4 yards per completion. It may only take 3-4 completions for Cooks to crest this yardage prop.
Specifically defending opposing offenses' WR2s, the Eagles have struggled, ranking 31st in DVOA against the specific role Cooks is currently in for this version of the Dallas offense. The Eagles defensive staff knows the main focus of their game plan must be to slow down Lamb, who earned 16 targets back in Week 9 to Cooks' two. This time around, Cooks has the momentum on his side and given the incredible efficiency, expect 5-7 targets for Cooks, with 50 yards being his floor in this favorable matchup.
I'd play Cooks' receiving over to 49.5 yards.
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Eagles vs. Cowboys
This line is likely deflated quite a bit cause of Brown's recent production, but I'm not even remotely expecting that to continue.
Brown has had one of the toughest stretches of matchups over the last four weeks any receiver could, facing the 49ers, Bills, Chiefs and Cowboys. While he may have only had 66 yards receiving against Dallas in these teams' first matchup, this one's being played under a dome. That means that Brown will get a dome and the game script likely changes toward them going more pass-heavy late in the game due to them being 3.5-point 'dogs.
Prior to those aforementioned four tough matchups, Brown was putting up unreal numbers with at least 127 receiving yards in each of the prior six games.
I have Brown projected a full 10 yards over this number and would hit it all the way up to 82.5 here.
Pick: A.J. Brown Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Eagles vs. Cowboys
By Nick Giffen
Anytime TDs for primetime games are often juiced down, and this game is no exception, especially with such a marquee matchup between two high-profile teams. That means we're heading down the odds board for the only projected value of the slate: Kavonte Turpin at anything longer than +550.
Turpin has TDs in four of 11 games already this year, and this looks like a prime spot to pick up another. The Eagles have allowed the fourth-most yards per coverage route to opposing slot receivers, and the most TDs in the NFL with nine. That benefits Turpin, as he's played exactly two-thirds of his offensive snaps out of the slot, including all three of his receiving TDs.
Philadelphia also plays man coverage at a higher rate than league average, which benefits Turpin as he's more than doubled his yards per route run against man coverage (3.0) compared to zone coverage (1.4).
His eight red-zone opportunities rank him sixth on the team, even ahead of guys like Cooks and Michael Gallup. He also has some sneaky value as a punt and kick returner, which I'm not even accounting for in the +550 fair odds projection.