Eagles vs Seahawks Best Bets: 4 Picks & Props for Monday Night Football
Action Network Design Team.
NFL Week 15 concludes at Lumen Field, and we have Eagles vs Seahawks best bets, picks and props for Monday Night Football.
Odds for Eagles vs Seahawks have been on the move as we near kickoff, with Philadelphia listed as a 4-point favorite on the spread with a game total of 45.
We have every betting market covered in this MNF betting preview, with picks against the spread, the game total over/under and player props for Kenneth Walker and Jake Elliott. Check out our four Eagles vs Seahawks best bets below.
Eagles vs Seahawks Best Bets: Picks & Props for Monday Night Football
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Eagles vs Seahawks Odds
| Eagles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4 -110 | 45 -110o / -110u | -205 |
| Seahawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4 -110 | 45 -110o / -110u | +170 |
Eagles vs. Seahawks
This is obviously dependent on Jalen Hurts being healthy and active for Monday Night Football.
Philadelphia's losses the last two weeks weren't pretty but also came against arguably the two best teams in the league, and Seattle is no San Francisco or Dallas. The Seahawks rank 24th in DVOA over the last five weeks, with both the offense and defense ranked at least that low.
Seattle has fallen off much further than Philadelphia, and its defense is especially troubling and has been even worse at home this season. Seattle's offensive line could also be in trouble if Philly's pass rush has any gas left. Seattle's struggles on late downs and in the red zone also look like big red flags against an Eagles team that specializes in those areas. Philadelphia has also run well to the left side, where Seattle's run defense has been particularly porous.
This late in the season, great teams tend to bounce back after big losses. From Weeks 10 to 15, teams with at least a 60% win rate coming off a 20-plus-point loss are an incredible 40-8 ATS over the last couple of decades, covering an awesome 83% of the time.
Trust the Eagles to bounce back in a big spot against an opponent that isn't healthy right now.
Editor's Note: The Eagles spread has moved to -4 at most sportsbooks as of 4:30 p.m. ET Monday.
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Eagles vs. Seahawks
By Billy Ward
Early in the week, Monday Night Football looked like it should be one of the higher-scoring games in Week 15. The Eagles have an aggressive, explosive offense and struggle enough against the pass, which has them playing in plenty of shootouts. This total sat around 47 for much of the week based on that.
Then, news came in on Sunday that Jalen Hurts is truly questionable not to play with an illness, and Geno Smith is doubtful with the groin injury that held him out of Week 14. The total has only dropped two points based on the news, which feels like not nearly enough to account for both quarterbacks' potential absences. The two-point dip is about right for a game without Smith, but it's optimistic for a game without Hurts.
While I'd make Hurts a solid favorite to still play, there's no guarantee. Even if he does play, he could also be at less than 100% effectiveness.
Assuming the 45 total is accounting for the absence of Smith and not Hurts (and is relatively efficient), it should hit the under 50% of the time — with Hurts at full strength. Therefore, our edge here is whatever probability Hurts misses the game or is hampered enough to limit the Eagles offense.
I'd take 45 down to -120, but I wouldn't take a lower number unless we get a pessimistic report on Hurts at some point on Monday.
Pick: Under 45 (-109)
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Eagles vs. Seahawks
Walker is back to full health and has a great matchup this week against a weak Eagles defense that has allowed a league-high 401 yards per game over its last seven games. According to Sharp Football, Philly has surrendered 126, 167,156 and 148 total scrimmage yards to opposing backfields in its last four games.
I am targeting Walker's total yardage rather than just his rushing yardage prop due to his encouraging passing game usage last week. While he only played 55% of the snaps for the Seattle offense, he ran 22 routes to Zach Charbonnet's 10, and Walker tied his season high in targets. In two of the last three games Walker has played, he has hit an explosive play in the passing game, and I like his chances again in this spot against a reeling Eagles defense.
Lastly, Philadelphia has given up 5.0 yards per carry to their opponents' lead back since Week 7 on 87 rushing attempts. In a game that should see both teams moving the ball well and that is closely contested, there are many paths for Walker to eclipse this number.
I'd play this over up to 64.5.
Pick: Kenneth Walker Over 61.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards (-113)
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Eagles vs. Seahawks
By Nick Giffen
I like this prop even if Jalen Hurts is healthy enough to play.
The Luck Team Total of -3.0 means I lean Philadelphia coming in under its team total – that’s like settling for one extra FG instead of a TD.
The Eagles attempt two-point conversions at the ninth-lowest rate in the NFL, but we need to adjust for them being ahead a lot late in close games or behind in blowouts. In what projects to be a competitive game against Seattle, Philly could be inclined to go for two closer to a league-average rate.
If/when Jake Elliott attempts an extra point, we also have to consider that rain in the forecast lowers conversion percentages a touch.
The Eagles are one of the most aggressive teams on fourth down, but that could be mitigated if Hurts doesn’t play. Marcus Mariota playing also lowers the Eagles’ TD probability.
I have this closer to 60% to stay under 2.5 extra points made.
Pick: Jake Elliott Under 2.5 PAT Made (-120)
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