Ezekiel Elliott and CeeDee Lamb represent the most popular NFL player prop bets for Thursday Night Football's Cowboys vs. Titans.
These props are both in the anytime TD market. Titans running back Derrick Henry had been in the mix, too, but all of his props are set to be void as he sits out of this matchup. Cowboys running back Tony Pollard will also be out tonight.
Plenty of Titans props across the market tanked in value on Thursday after it was announced Josh Dobbs — who has yet to start an NFL game in five seasons — will start for Tennessee over Malik Willis.
This game doesn't matter for the Titans at all for playoff purposes. A win against Jacksonville next week is the game that decides the AFC South and the No. 4 seed. Thursday Night Football means virtually nothing to them.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
Cowboys vs. Titans Most Popular NFL Player Prop Bets
- Ezekiel Elliott to score an anytime TD (-190)
- CeeDee Lamb to score an anytime TD (+110)
*Odds and data are according to PointsBet as of Thursday afternoon.
Our premier data analytics expert Nick Giffen assessed the value for Elliott and Lamb's anytime TD player props.
With Pollard out, Elliott's anytime TD props have plummeted across the market. The public money has been enough to bring that line down to a market-worst price of -220 at BetRivers.
But, even at the market-best price of -165 at FanDuel, Giffen thinks it's a bad deal. His fair value line for Elliott to score a touchdown on Thursday Night Football's Cowboys vs. Titans is -125.
At a -220 clip, you're losing over 13% in betting edge. At -165, you're still paying a 6.75% premium.
For Lamb to score a touchdown, you're not getting a much fairer price. While the fair value line is somewhere around +150, the best line on the market is at +120. You're losing about 5.5% in value.
One pick that our experts like today is on Michael Gallup to score a TD at around +300.
