The number in parenthesis is a confidence rating from 1-10.
Mike White — Under 135.5 Passing Yards (7)
Joe Flacco is getting the night off as the Jets attempt to preserve him for his Week 1 start. It means we should see Mike White and Chris Streveler split action.
I’m projecting White to play the entire first half and into the third quarter, and I’m getting him closer to 125.5 yards. There is also a decent chance they will take him out at halftime, making this prop even more likely to go under.
Frank Darby — Under 24.5 Receiving Yards (8)
The Falcons will have a crowded WR room for tonight’s game, making it difficult to project any one WR for a high target share.
Darby managed to post a 2/14/0 line on three targets in Week 1 despite only running a route on 10 dropbacks. He’s unlikely going to command a 30% target rate again this week and could finish under this number even if he gets 2-3 receptions.
I’m projecting Darby closer to 18.5 receiving yards.
Bryan Edwards — Under 1.5 Receptions (9)
Edwards missed Week 1 but will be healthy enough to suit up tonight. He has trouble separating, which makes it tougher for him to draw targets. He will also likely be on the field at the same time as Kyle Pitts in his limited action, making it tough for him to see enough targets to haul in two or more receptions.
Tyler Allgeier — Under 28.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (6)
I’m in line with Allgeier’s rushing prop of 20.5 yards tonight since he should see around six carries. However, I think there is some value in this market as they added an eight-yard buffer that includes his receiving yards.
Both Marcus Mariota and Desmond Ridder prefer to scramble when a play breaks down as opposed to dumping it off to their RB. As a result, we only saw one target go to RBs in Week 1.
Of course, there is a chance Allgeier gets a target or two tonight, which would be devastating towards this prop, but I’m betting against it.
