Action Labs' Player Props tool has been giving bettors edges on player totals all season. Using Sean Koerner's expert projections, there are two that stand out for Thursday Night Football.
These aren't the only picks that bettors should consider, though. Below is a taste of the data you'll have access to by signing up for Action Labs.
For now, here are two props with big edges for Falcons vs Panthers.
D.J. Moore
Under 60.5 Receiving Yards (PointsBet)
After a couple games of looking like he was firmly back, D.J. Moore fantasy owners were dealt a 2/24/0 line in a blowout game against the Bengals in Week 9.
The output from Moore was disappointing on multiple fronts. Carolina trailed the entire game, creating a game script that seemed like it would lead it to pass more. Unfortunately, the Panthers threw only 30 passes between P.J. Walker’s 10 in the first half and Baker Mayfield’s 20 in the second.
Falcons -2.5 | Panthers +2.5
Moore and Terrace Marshall each had six targets, but Marshall’s the one who had the real output with 3/53/1. It’s no surprise that Mayfield threw two touchdowns, and neither was to Moore.
Walker will be back under center on Thursday night, which is encouraging for Moore given his lack of production when Mayfield is on the field. Also going for Moore is the fact that Atlanta ranks 22nd against opposing No. 1 receivers this season.
Action Labs doesn’t trust Moore, though. He’s projected for only 53.3 receiving yards on Thursday Night Football. Moore has gone under 59.5 receiving yards in seven of nine games this season. Despite two stellar performances with Walker under center, the numbers say he cannot be trusted.
D.J. Moore
Under 60.5 Receiving Yards (PointsBet)
After a couple games of looking like he was firmly back, D.J. Moore fantasy owners were dealt a 2/24/0 line in a blowout game against the Bengals in Week 9.
The output from Moore was disappointing on multiple fronts. Carolina trailed the entire game, creating a game script that seemed like it would lead it to pass more. Unfortunately, the Panthers threw only 30 passes between P.J. Walker’s 10 in the first half and Baker Mayfield’s 20 in the second.
Falcons -2.5 | Panthers +2.5
Moore and Terrace Marshall each had six targets, but Marshall’s the one who had the real output with 3/53/1. It’s no surprise that Mayfield threw two touchdowns, and neither was to Moore.
Walker will be back under center on Thursday night, which is encouraging for Moore given his lack of production when Mayfield is on the field. Also going for Moore is the fact that Atlanta ranks 22nd against opposing No. 1 receivers this season.
Action Labs doesn’t trust Moore, though. He’s projected for only 53.3 receiving yards on Thursday Night Football. Moore has gone under 59.5 receiving yards in seven of nine games this season. Despite two stellar performances with Walker under center, the numbers say he cannot be trusted.
Cordarrelle Patterson
Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (FanDuel)
The Falcons showed last week that they plan on accommodating all three of their running backs with Patterson back in the picture, and it worked out very well.
The trio of Patterson, Tyler Allegeier and Caleb Huntley combined for 27 carries and 175 rushing yards, an average of 6.5 yards per carry. Patterson led the backfield with 13 carries. Marcus Mariota chipped in another 24 rushing yards.
In that game, the Falcons gashed a Chargers rushing defense that now ranks 29th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric. This week, they get a 23rd-ranked Panthers run defense.
Patterson has followed up a breakout 2021 with a strong ’22 when he’s been on the field. In five games, he has five touchdowns and is averaging 5.41 yards per carry.
In the first three games of the season, all of which saw Patterson play at least 59% of snaps, he went over this total twice. The only time he didn’t was a Week 2 loss to the Rams that saw Atlanta playing from behind and forced into passing situations for most of the game.
In Week 4, Patterson played only 29% of snaps but still got nine carries for 38 yards before exiting due to a knee injury. For the sake of this, since he only saw limited snaps, we’ll let that one slide.
Patterson was at 39% of snaps played on Sunday against the Chargers and was the lead back in terms of touches. Assuming that number increases closer to 50% this week, Patterson would need just nine carries to go over his rushing total.
Action Labs projects 58 yards on the ground for Patterson against a subpar Panthers rush defense. Action Labs has a live odds tool for props that makes line shopping easy.
