Packers vs. Bears Prediction, Odds, Spread, How To Watch NFL Week 11

Packers vs. Bears Prediction, Odds, Spread, How To Watch NFL Week 11 article feature image
Credit:

Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured: Jordan Love (left) and Caleb Williams.

The Green Bay Packers (6-3-0) and Chicago Bears (4-5-0) will face off in NFL Week 11 at 1 p.m. ET from Soldier Field in Chicago. The game will be broadcast live on FOX and can be streamed on YouTube TV and similar streaming platforms.

The Packers are favored by 5.5 points over the Bears (Packers -5.5) with the game total set at 41. Green Bay is a -250 favorite to win outright, while Chicago is +205 on the moneyline to pull off the upset.

The Packers are coming off their bye week after losing to the Lions in Week 9. Jordan Love left that game with an injury, but he should be closer to 100%. The Bears lost 19-3 to the Patriots last week. Chicago fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron after averaging just nine points per game during its three-game losing streak.

Let's get into my Bears vs Packers picks and NFL predictions.

Packers vs. Bears Prediction

Spread

The Packers have dominated the Bears over the last decade, making this not much of a rivalry. That said, the Bears offense has thoroughly hit rock bottom and has nowhere to go but up. I'm not betting either side for this game.

Over/Under

This is the lowest total the Packers will have this season, mostly because of how the Bears offense has played of late. That said, I'm not betting the total.

Player Prop

This is a great matchup for the Packers run game, led by Josh Jacobs. The Windy City should live up to its name on Sunday, which will lead to a run-heavy attack for the Pack.

Moneyline

The Bears have struggled to beat the Packers over the last 14 years, but I'm not going to bet the Packers moneyline at its current price.

My Pick: Josh Jacobs Over 68.5 Rushing Yards

Packers vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Packers Logo
Sunday, Nov. 17
1 p.m. ET
FOX
Bears Logo
Packers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-5.5
-110
41
-110o / -110u
-250
Bears Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+5.5
-110
41
-110o / -110u
+205
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Packers vs. Bears Spread: Packers -5.5
  • Packers vs. Bears Over/Under: 41 points scored
  • Packers vs. Bears Moneyline: Packers -250, Bears -205
  • Packers vs. Bears Prediction: Josh Jacobs Over 68.5 Rushing Yards

MyBears vs. Packers best bet is on a player prop. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.

Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears Preview

This matchup comes as the Bears are in free fall.

Chicago has scored 27 total points in its last three games against the Commanders, Cardinals and Patriots, three teams that aren’t exactly defensive juggernauts. The Bears averaged 31.7 points in their previous three games.

Now, Shane Waldron is out as offensive coordinator and Thomas Brown is in. Brown called plays last season for the Panthers in what was a hopeless situation, and there’s nowhere to go but up now.

This hasn’t exactly been a rivalry. The Packers have won their last 10 games against the Bears, including 25 of the last 28 meetings. Matt LaFleur has never lost to Chicago.

Jordan Love should be healthy coming out of the bye week after suffering a groin injury, but this isn’t a matchup for him. We’re looking at winds of 12 or more mph in Chicago.

Also, the Bears defense ranks sixth against the pass but 30th against the run. It’s clear how the Packers are likely to come out looking to establish their offense.

Green Bay ranks third in rush DVOA, and the Bears have allowed at least 65 rushing yards to opposing RB1s in seven of nine games this season. The only two that didn’t reach that threshold were the Texans and Jaguars, both of whom had their running backs get hurt.

Josh Jacobs has run for at least 82 yards in five of nine games this season. I looked at over 16.5 rush attempts, as well, as the Bears have given up 16 or more in six of nine games this season.

For now, I’ll stick with yardage for Jacobs. He has fit into the Packers offense very well this season and should be poised for a big game in the Windy City.

My Pick: Josh Jacobs Over 68.5 Rushing Yards


Betting Trends

NFL Weather

Get the latest coverage on NFL Weather.

About the Author
Brandon Anderson is a staff writer at the Action Network, specializing in NFL and NBA coverage. He provides weekly NFL power rankings and picks for every game, as well as contributing to NBA analysis, regularly appearing on the BUCKETS Podcast. With a deep background in sports betting and fantasy football, Brandon is known for spotting long-shot futures and writing for various outlets like Sports Illustrated, BetMGM, and more before joining the Action Network.

Follow Brandon Anderson @wheatonbrando on Twitter/X.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.