The Green Bay Packers (6-3-0) and Chicago Bears (4-5-0) renew their rivalry in NFL Week 11. Kickoff is set for in 1 p.m. ET from Soldier Field in Chicago. The game will be broadcast live on FOX.
The Packers are favored by 5.5 points over the Bears (Packers -5.5) with the game total set at 40.5. The Packers are a -250 favorite to win outright, while the Bears are +200 on the moneyline to pull off the upset.
The Packers are coming off their bye week after losing to the Lions in Week 9. Jordan Love left that game with an injury, but he should be closer to 100%. The Bears lost 19-3 to the Patriots last week. Chicago fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron after averaging just nine points per game during its three-game losing streak.
Let's get into my Bears vs Packers predictions and NFL picks.
Packers vs. Bears Odds, Pick, Prediction
| Packers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5.5 -110 | 40.5 -110o / -110u | -245 |
| Bears Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5.5 -110 | 40.5 -110o / -110u | +200 |
- Packers vs. Bears spread: Packers -5.5
- Packers vs. Bears over/under: 40.5 points scored
- Packers vs. Bears moneyline: Packers -245, Bears -200
- Packers vs. Bears best bet: Josh Jacobs Over 68.5 Rushing Yards
MyPackers vs. Bears best bet is on a Josh Jacobs player prop. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Spread
The Packers have dominated the Bears over the last decade, making this not much of a rivalry. That said, the Bears offense has thoroughly hit rock bottom and has nowhere to go but up.
I'm not betting either side for this game.
Over/Under
This is the lowest total the Packers will have this season, mostly because of how the Bears offense has played of late. That said, I'm not betting the total.
Player Prop
This is a great matchup for the Packers run game, led by Josh Jacobs. The Windy City should live up to its name on Sunday, which will lead to a run-heavy attack for the Pack.
Moneyline
The Bears have struggled to beat the Packers over the last 14 years, but I'm not going to bet the Packers moneyline at its current price.
My Pick: Josh Jacobs Over 68.5 Rushing Yards
Packers vs. Bears NFL Week 11 Preview
This matchup comes as the Bears are in free fall.
Chicago has scored 27 total points in its last three games against the Commanders, Cardinals and Patriots, three teams that aren’t exactly defensive juggernauts. The Bears averaged 31.7 points in their previous three games.
Now, Shane Waldron is out as offensive coordinator and Thomas Brown is in. Brown called plays last season for the Panthers in what was a hopeless situation, and there’s nowhere to go but up now.
This hasn’t exactly been a rivalry. The Packers have won their last 10 games against the Bears, including 25 of the last 28 meetings. Matt LaFleur has never lost to Chicago.
Jordan Love should be healthy coming out of the bye week after suffering a groin injury, but this isn’t a matchup for him. We’re looking at winds of 12 or more mph in Chicago.
Also, the Bears defense ranks sixth against the pass but 30th against the run. It’s clear how the Packers are likely to come out looking to establish their offense.
Green Bay ranks third in rush DVOA, and the Bears have allowed at least 65 rushing yards to opposing RB1s in seven of nine games this season. The only two that didn’t reach that threshold were the Texans and Jaguars, both of whom had their running backs get hurt.
Josh Jacobs has run for at least 82 yards in five of nine games this season. I looked at over 16.5 rush attempts, as well, as the Bears have given up 16 or more in six of nine games this season.
For now, I’ll stick with yardage for Jacobs. He has fit into the Packers offense very well this season and should be poised for a big game in the Windy City.
My Pick: Josh Jacobs Over 68.5 Rushing Yards
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