The Packers (9-4) and Seahawks (8-5) will end the Sunday slate of Week 15 on NFL Sunday Night Football from Lumen Field in Seattle at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC. The Packers are consensus 2.5-point favorites tonight over the Seahawks, and the game total is over/under 46 points scored.
Let’s get into our NFL picks and Packers vs. Seahawks predictions tonight.
Packers vs. Seahawks Predictions
- Against the Spread: Packers -2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under Pick: Over 46 (-110)
- Player Props: Tyler Lockett Over 2.5 Receptions (+110)
NFL Parlay: Packers vs. Seahawks
You can parlay our three picks at DraftKings for a +575 SGP on Thursday night.
- Packers -2.5
- Over 46
- Tyler Lockett Over 2.5 Receptions
Packers vs. Seahawks Parlay Odds: +575 at DraftKings
Packers vs. Seahawks Odds
- Spread: Packers -2.5 (-115), Seahawks +2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 46 points scored (-110o / -110u)
- Moneyline: Packers -140, Seahawks +120
Odds via bet365 as of Saturday at 3 p.m. ET. Get the latest NFL odds here.
Packers vs. Seahawks Against the Spread Pick
This should be a closely contested game in the thick of a tightly contest NFC playoff race. The Packers are coming off a very close loss in Detroit and have had extra time to prepare for the hostile environment that is Lumen Field. I believe they are better positioned to limit the Seahawks rushing attack and potentially pressure Geno Smith, thus I like their chances in this game to bounce-back and get the victory.
The Packers lost the time of possession battle in Detroit badly, as the Lions ran 31 more plays and had the ball for 12 more minutes. With that said, Green Bay averaged 6.6 yards per play on offense and held the potent Detroit offense to just 5.1 yards per play on their 76 offensive snaps.
Most importantly, the Packers defense held up at the line of scrimmage against one of the best offensive lines in football, surrendering just 3.3 yards per push. If the Packers can replicate this in Seattle, they should be able to force the Seahawks offense into obvious passing situations.
This means potentially putting pressure on Geno Smith, something the Seahawks quarterback has not dealt with well this season. Smith has thrown 10 interceptions when pressured, and ranks 29th in passer rating under duress, with a rating of 58.8. The Packers have the eighth-best pass rush win rate according to ESPN data, while the Seahawks are ranked 18th in pass block win rate.
The Seattle defense seems to be improving as the season progresses, but they are still vulnerable to good ground attacks as they allow 4.7 line yards per rush against, which is the sixth most in the NFL. It is fair to expect a heavy dose of Josh Jacobs, which in turn will allow more advantageous situations for Jordan Love when he needs to move the chains.
I am comfortable playing the Packers at -2.5 up to -120, or -3 at -110 odds or better.
Pick: Packers -2.5 (-115)
Packers vs. Seahawks Prediction: Over/Under
By Billy Ward
If we count nickel backs as starting corners — which we should given the prevalence of nickle defense in the modern NFL — the Seahawks and Packers will collectively be without three combined starting corners on Sunday night.
Two of those are on the Green Bay side, which makes for a rough matchup against the Seahawks. Between DK Metcalf on the outside and Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the slot, Seattle is capable of putting a major strain on opposing secondaries under the best of circumstances.
The Seahawks also throw the ball at one of the highest rates in the league, with a top-five pass rate over expectation. Assuming they find some success, that should push the Packers to take some shots downfield, as well.
On the other side of the field, the only offensive starter with an injury designation is Kenneth Walker, and Zach Charbonnet has filled in extremely well. There's a case to be made that Charbonnet is the better back, and Walker missing actually helps the Seattle offense.
I'd take the over up to 46.5 if it came in at -105 or better.
Pick: Over 46 (-110)
Packers vs. Seahawks Player Prop Pick: Tyler Lockett
By Matt Trebby
Tyler Lockett’s lack of significant production over the Seahawks’ last four games has been noteworthy. He has seven receptions on 10 targets for 55 yards in that span. Lockett played 78%, 64%, 47% and 67% of snaps in those games, all of which were Seahawks wins.
Prior to that four-game stretch, Lockett started the season by going over 2.5 receptions and 22.5 receiving yards in seven of the Seahawks’ first nine games. In those four games, he’s gone over one of those totals just once, which was two weeks ago in the Seahawks’ win over the Jets when he had three receptions — but for just 16 yards.
The Seahawks have won all four of those games, although only two were from start to finish. Two wins came down to the wire, but it was Jaxon Smith-Njigba who was the go-to guy. During the Seahawks’ four-game winning streak, Smith-Njigba is averaging 6.3 receptions and 85.8 receiving yards.
Both Sean Koerner and Chris Raybon are showing edges on Lockett for Sunday Night Football. Raybon has Lockett pegged for 3.4 receptions and 35 receiving yards, while Koerner has him at 2.7 catches and 26.2 yards.
Our experts believe this is the bottom of the market for Lockett, who has been a pretty reliable receiver for the Seahawks over the previous six seasons. I’ll opt for receptions as long as that’s at plus money. If it’s not, then go for the over on receiving yards.
Pick: Tyler Lockett Over 2.5 Receptions (+115)
