The Houston Texans (5-1) and Green Bay Packers (4-2) will kick off NFL Week 7's Sunday afternoon slate. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET from Lambeau Field in Green Bay on CBS. The game can be streamed live on Paramount+, YouTube TV and other streaming platforms.
The Packers are consensus 3-point favorites over the Texans on the spread (Packers -3), with the over/under currently at 48.5. Green Bay is -160 on the moneyline to win outright, while Houston is +135 to pull off the upset.
Houston won its third straight game last week by beating the Patriots 41-21. The Texans set a season-high with 41 points with Joe Mixon and Dameon Pierce combining to run for 178 yards. The Packers won 34-13 over the Cardinals. Jordan Love threw 4 touchdown passes, including 2 to Romeo Doubs.
Let's get into my Texans vs. Packers predictions and my NFL picks for Sunday Week 7.
Texans vs. Packers Odds
| Texans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -115 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | +135 |
| Packers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -105 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | -160 |
- Texans vs. Packers spread: Packers -3
- Texans vs. Packers over/under: 48.5 points
- Texans vs. Packers moneyline: Packers -160, Texans +135
- Texans vs. Packers best bet: Packers 2H -1.5 (+114)
Texans vs. Packers Picks and Predictions
Prediction
- My pick: Packers 2H -1.5
My Packers vs. Texans best bet is on Green Bay against the second-half spread. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Spread
I'm betting a specific spread in this game on the Packers. Green Bay has started slowly at times on offense this season, while the Houston attack has thrived early in games, led by C.J. Stroud.
With that, I'm avoiding the full-game spread and focused on betting the Packers when they thrive most: in the second half.
Moneyline
I'm not betting any moneylines in this game.
Over/Under
I'm in line with the relatively high total for this game and have no picks.
My pick: Packers 2H -1.5 (+114)
Texans vs. Packers NFL Week 7 Preview
This is simply about betting on a team that I believe in against one that I’m not totally sold on yet.
Most metrics indicate that this matchup is very even, and the game is being priced accordingly. What this line says is that the Texans and Packers are about even on a neutral field.
The strength vs. strength of this matchup so far this season is the Packers offense against the Texans defense. There are more unknowns for the other two units. On offense, Houston will be without wide receiver Nico Collins and left tackle Laremy Tunsil, two All-Pro-level players. The Texans offense is also bad on early downs and relies on C.J. Stroud to bail them out. The Packers defense, though, thrives on late downs.
Jordan Love has typically been good under pressure and can create big plays in those situations. Against the edge-rushing duo of Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter, that will be key.
If you want to back the Pack for the game, Matt LaFleur is 24-12 against the spread (ATS) against teams over .500. I wouldn’t blame you.
So, why am I betting the second-half spread? Well, my focus is on avoiding the key number of -3.
The Packers offense has been somewhat inconsistent early in games, which is when their turnovers tend to happen and they have had to settle for field goals. The Texans, also, are 5-1 ATS in the first half thing season. They’re especially good with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik’s early scripted plays.
When looking at the Texans’ first three drives of their first six games, they’re scored on 12 of those 18 drives with eight touchdowns, four field goals and two missed field goals.
To sum all of that up, Houston has scored 47% of its points (68 of 144) on 25% of its drives.
So, while I like the Packers, why not just take them in the second half if Houston is the better team early in games? We don’t even need the Packers to win, instead just get a comeback push if they’re behind at halftime.
Want to have a little escalator fun? You can parlay the Texans’ first-quarter moneyline and the Packers’ second-half moneyline to get to +390 at DraftKings.
Pick: Packers 2H -1.5 (+114)
Betting Trends
- 68% of bets and 76% of the money are on the Texans to cover the spread.
- 84% of bets and 91% of the money are on the over.
- 35% of bets and 66% of the money on the moneyline are on the Texans.
How to Watch: Time, Channel, Streaming
| Location: | Lambeau Field |
| Date: | Sunday, Oct. 20 |
| Kickoff Time: | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | CBS / Paramount+ and YouTube TV |
Packers vs. Texans is scheduled for a 1 p.m. ET start time, live from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI, on Sunday, Oct. 20. The game is live on CBS and streaming on Paramount+ and YouTube TV.
NFL Weather
