The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10) and Tennessee Titans (3-9) will face off in NFL Week 14 at 1 p.m. ET from Nissan Stadium in Nashville. The game will be on CBS and can be streamed on Paramount+ or YouTube TV.
The Titans are favored by 3.5 points with the game total set at 40 points scored. The Titans are -180 favorites to win outright, while the Jaguars are +150 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Titans vs Jaguars predictions and NFL picks.
The Titans lost 42-19 to the Commanders last week. Will Levis didn’t turn the ball over, but it didn’t matter as Tennessee was down 21-0 after the first quarter. The Jaguars lost 23-20 to the Texans last week and lost Trevor Lawrence for the season. Mac Jones stepped in and threw for 235 yards and 2 touchdowns in his best game since joining the Jags.
Jaguars vs. Titans Prediction
Against the Spread
I want to take the Titans, but there's one thing keeping me away from making the bet: Will Levis. The key here is to fade Mac Jones and the Jaguars, which I've found a way to do in another market.
Over/Under Pick
The Jaguars offense has been pitiful with Jones under center in place of Trevor Lawrence, who's out for the season. I'm going to bet on the Titans' top-10 defense to shut down the Jaguars in a few ways.
My Pick: Jaguars Team Total Under 17.5 (-110)
Jaguars vs. Titans Odds
| Jaguars Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -120 | 40 -110o / -110u | +150 |
| Titans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 +100 | 40 -110o / -110u | -180 |
- Jaguars vs. Titans spread: Titans -3.5
- Jaguars vs. Titans over/under: 40 points scored
- Jaguars vs. Titans moneyline: Titans -180, Jaguars +150
- Jaguars vs. Titans best bet: Jaguars Team Total Under 17.5 (-110)
MyJaguars vs. Titans pick is on the Jacksonville team total. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans
I wanted to bet the Titans, but not at -3.5. I’m not going over the key number of three with Will Levis at quarterback.
The Titans have won 10 of their last 14 matchups against the Jaguars and set up well here. They have a top-10 defense, according to DVOA, and face a truly horrible quarterback in Mac Jones.
Since the start of last season, in non-garbage-time snaps, Jones is averaging -0.1 EPA/play, which is 41st of 45 qualified quarterbacks. He’s ahead of Bryce Young, Zach Wilson, Deshaun Watson and Bailey Zappe. He’s behind the likes of Levis, Joshua Dobbs and Desmond Ridder.
In three games with Jones under center, the Jaguars have a bottom-three offense that ranks 30th in Pass DVOA. The Jaguars scored 13 points in Jones’ first two starts and got to 20 last week thanks to two touchdowns with less than eight minutes left in the fourth quarter.
Before those two garbage-time touchdowns, the Jaguars had scored 19 points in 27 drives across Jones’ time as the starting quarterback.
This total has dropped from 43.5 to 39.5 during the week. I'm looking to fade Jacksonville, so my attention goes straight to its team total at 17.5.
Let's go down the mineshaft, though.
I’m targeting alt lines on the Jaguars team total, specifically under 10.5 points at +350 and Under 7.5 at +680.
My Pick: Jaguars Team Total Under 17.5 (-110)
Titans vs Jaguars Betting Trends
NFL Weather
