Christian Kirk
Anytime Touchdown +200 (PointsBet)
The Chiefs were 31st in the NFL in both TDs allowed to the slot and touchdowns allowed to wide receivers this season, so the aerial attack should be a point of emphasis for the Jaguars as they look to pull off an upset in the Divisional Round.
Enter: Christian Kirk.
He lines up almost exclusively in the slot, with over 80% of snaps. He also led the Jags in nearly every offensive metric: Catches, yards, touchdowns.
In the game between these teams back in Week 10, Kirk went off for nine receptions, 105 yards and two touchdowns.
Really all the Jags wide receivers are in play to score, but I like Kirk the most based on the matchup.
Patrick Mahomes
Anytime Touchdown +350 (BetMGM)
It’s the postseason, which means now is the time to bet on rushing touchdowns for Playoff Pat.
Mahomes has five rushing scores in 11 career playoff games – he has at least one in each of the past four postseasons. Not to mention he rushed for a career-high four touchdowns this season, one against the Titans, who were in the top five in DVOA against opposing rushers.
The matchup against the Jaguars is a good one, as they’ve allowed the third most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season.
Anything above +300 is an auto-bet in this spot.
Trevor Lawrence
Anytime Touchdown +410 (FanDuel)
Lawrence was busy on the ground in the regular season, tallying five rushing touchdowns and 14 red zone carries (sixth among all quarterbacks).
The Chiefs only surrendered 10 rushing touchdowns this season, but they were bottom five in rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks, with four touchdowns to quarterbacks.
Lawrence showed in the Wild Card Round what he can do at the goal line, so when the Jags get close again, I love my chances.
Pick: Trevor Lawrence Anytime TD |
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